PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeStadio Luigi FerrarisFull-time recap

Genoa

LDLLL
0–0Full-time recap

Parma

DLDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGenoaParma
Shots23 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession69%31%
Corners3 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Genoa's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.43 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genoa have a visible home split

weak

Genoa's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Parma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsGenoa · Parma10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGenoaParmaBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against9.86 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Genoa favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Parma in 2 · 6 too close

0.43 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/70.43 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/7▲1 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/710.1 shots/match
9.86 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 7/713.7 shots/match
3.71 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 7/72.43 shots/match
3.43 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/74.43 shots/match
50.9%Possessionseason · 7/744.3%
4.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/73.29 corners/match
3.71 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 7/74.29 corners/match
2.86 cards/matchCardsseason · 7/7▲2.14 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/712.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/729%
43%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 7/729%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Genoa57.5
Parma35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Genoa30
Parma17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Genoa60.8
Parma45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Genoa27.5
Parma32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Genoa90
Parma51.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Genoa50
Parma22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Genoa53.8
Parma23.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13 shots/match▲Shots5/511.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.4 shots/match
50.6%Possession5/545.6%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
16 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
0.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/70.43 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/match▲Shots7/710.1 shots/match
3.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/72.43 shots/match
50.9%Possession7/744.3%
4.29 corners/matchCorners7/73.29 corners/match
2.86 cards/matchCards7/72.14 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls7/712.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
0.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/70.43 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/match▲Shots7/710.1 shots/match
3.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/72.43 shots/match
50.9%Possession7/744.3%
4.29 corners/matchCorners7/73.29 corners/match
2.86 cards/matchCards7/72.14 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls7/712.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
0 goals/matchGoals scored4/40 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots4/410.3 shots/match
3.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/42.5 shots/match
59.3%Possession4/441%
3.75 corners/matchCorners4/43.5 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards4/42.25 cards/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls4/413 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGenoaParma
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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