PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Olimpico di Torino

Torino 2–1 Genoa · Serie A

Torino

WLLDW
2–1Historical match

Genoa

DLLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Torino won 2–1.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.351.9
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Torino beat Genoa 2–1. Recorded in this match (Torino – Genoa): shots 13–11, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.35–1.9, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genoa have a visible away split

weak

Genoa's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.4 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Genoa show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsTorino · Genoa11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTorinoGenoaBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsTorino 13 shots, Genoa 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsTorino 6 shots, Genoa 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.35 xG1.9 xGTorino 1.35 xG, Genoa 1.9 xG
  • Possession59%41%Torino 59%, Genoa 41%
  • Corners9 corners1 cornerTorino 9 corners, Genoa 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsTorino 14 fouls, Genoa 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsTorino 2 cards, Genoa 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mikael Ellertsson · Genoa · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Torino · 75′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCesare Casadei · Torino · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDuván Zapata · Torino · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMorten Thorsby · Genoa · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Coco · Torino · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Coco · Torino · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeff Ekhator · Genoa · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentino Lazaro · Torino · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGuillermo Maripán · Torino · 58′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Genoa · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMorten Thorsby · Genoa · 68′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedStefano Sabelli · Torino · 63′ · 0.10 xG · goalKristjan Asllani · Torino · 39′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGuillermo Maripán · Torino · 39′ · 0.12 xG · on targetGuillermo Maripán · Torino · 90′ · 0.13 xG · goalCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 90′ · 0.24 xG · on targetJeff Ekhator · Genoa · 20′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedCesare Casadei · Torino · 84′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Torino · 71′ · 0.39 xG · on targetMaxwel Cornet · Genoa · 90′ · 0.58 xG · on targetMorten Thorsby · Genoa · 7′ · 0.64 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.46 xG. Genoa: 11 shots, 3 on target, 2.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Stefano Sabelli · Torino · 63′Guillermo Maripán · Torino · 90′Morten Thorsby · Genoa · 7′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 1.46 xG · Genoa 2.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Torino
3Draws
1Genoa
Torino — Genoa · Serie A1–1
Genoa — Torino · Serie A0–0
Genoa — Torino · Serie A0–0
Torino — Genoa · Serie A1–0
Genoa — Torino · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Torino favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Genoa in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Torino8 matchesGenoa8 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored8/80.5 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.26 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots8/811.4 shots/match
4.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.63 shots/match
44.4%Possession8/8● 49.6%
4.63 corners/match ●Corners8/83.88 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards8/82.75 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls8/814.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTorinoGenoa
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headTorino — Genoa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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