PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeStadio Olimpico di TorinoFull-time recap

Torino

WLLDW
2–1Full-time recap

Genoa

DLLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTorinoGenoa
Shots13 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession59%41%
Corners9 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Genoa's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genoa have a visible away split

weak

Genoa's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.4 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Genoa show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match▲ShotsTorino · Genoa11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTorinoGenoaBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Torino favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Genoa in 3 · 6 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/80.5 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.38 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/811.4 shots/match
15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲10.3 shots/match
4.63 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/83.63 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲3.75 shots/match
44.4%Possessionseason · 8/849.6%
4.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/83.88 corners/match
4.38 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/84.38 corners/match
1.75 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 8/82.75 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/814.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/825%
63%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 8/850%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Torino27.5
Genoa52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Torino49.2
Genoa31.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Torino15.8
Genoa54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Torino72.5
Genoa37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Torino43.8
Genoa82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Torino62.5
Genoa42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Torino56.9
Genoa50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/matchShots5/512.8 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match
48.6%Possession5/549.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/53.4 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.5 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.38 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShots8/811.4 shots/match
4.63 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.63 shots/match
44.4%Possession8/849.6%
4.63 corners/matchCorners8/83.88 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards8/82.75 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls8/814.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.5 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.38 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShots8/811.4 shots/match
4.63 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.63 shots/match
44.4%Possession8/849.6%
4.63 corners/matchCorners8/83.88 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards8/82.75 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls8/814.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/match▲Shots4/49 shots/match
4.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43.5 shots/match
43.5%Possession4/440%
5 corners/matchCorners4/44 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/43 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls4/414 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.81 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.94 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTorinoGenoa
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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