PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Wed, 29 Oct 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeStadio Luigi FerrarisFull-time recap

Genoa

LLLDL
0–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGenoaCremonese
Shots16 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Possession54%46%
Corners7 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Genoa. A second useful context is: Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Genoa.

3.34 days▲Rest daysGenoa · Cremonese4.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGenoaCremoneseBaseline
Rest days3.34 days4.04 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Cremonese show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match▲ShotsGenoa · Cremonese7.44 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGenoaCremoneseBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match7.44 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match17 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

weak

Genoa's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Genoa favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Cremonese in 5 · 5 too close

0.44 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/9▲1.22 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.11 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/97.44 shots/match
10.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 9/917 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/93.22 shots/match
3.78 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/95.22 shots/match
50.1%Possessionseason · 9/943.7%
4.22 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/92.78 corners/match
4.22 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/97.11 corners/match
2.78 cards/matchCardsseason · 9/9▲2.33 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/911.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/9▲33%
44%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/9▲78%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Genoa57.5
Cremonese22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Genoa31.7
Cremonese26.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Genoa55.8
Cremonese22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Genoa52.5
Cremonese2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Genoa88.8
Cremonese46.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Genoa55
Cremonese2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Genoa56.2
Cremonese12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.6 shots/match▲Shots5/58.6 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
52%Possession5/541.8%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
0.44 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.22 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.11 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.9 shots/match▲Shots9/97.44 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target9/93.22 shots/match
50.1%Possession9/943.7%
4.22 corners/matchCorners9/92.78 corners/match
2.78 cards/matchCards9/92.33 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls9/911.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
0.44 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.22 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.11 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.9 shots/match▲Shots9/97.44 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target9/93.22 shots/match
50.1%Possession9/943.7%
4.22 corners/matchCorners9/92.78 corners/match
2.78 cards/matchCards9/92.33 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls9/911.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
0 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.2 shots/match▲Shots5/56.6 shots/match
3.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.6 shots/match
58.2%Possession5/542.4%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/52 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.34 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.04 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 29 Oct 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGenoaCremonese
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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