PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Wed, 29 Oct 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe MeazzaFull-time recap

Inter

WWWWL
3–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricInterFiorentina
Shots22 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession64%36%
Corners8 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fiorentina. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.9 shots/match▲ShotsInter · Fiorentina11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterFiorentinaBaseline
Shots18.9 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against9.33 shots/match12.8 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fiorentina.

4.16 days▲Rest daysInter · Fiorentina3.11 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricInterFiorentinaBaseline
Rest days4.16 days3.11 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fiorentina have a visible away split

moderate

Fiorentina's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Inter favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 0 · 4 too close

2.44 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/90.78 goals/match
1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/91.67 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
18.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/911.8 shots/match
9.33 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 9/912.8 shots/match
5.67 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/92.67 shots/match
3.33 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/95 shots/match
59.6%Possessionseason · 9/948.7%
7.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/94.11 corners/match
3.33 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/94.89 corners/match
1.44 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 9/92.22 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/914.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
44%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/922%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/967%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter92.5
Fiorentina52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter96.7
Fiorentina26.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter70.8
Fiorentina21.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter92.5
Fiorentina57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter32.5
Fiorentina62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter97.5
Fiorentina45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter86.9
Fiorentina41.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.2 shots/match▲Shots5/511.8 shots/match
5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
57.6%Possession5/547.2%
6.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
2.44 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.78 goals/match
1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.9 shots/match▲Shots9/911.8 shots/match
5.67 shots/match▲Shots on target9/92.67 shots/match
59.6%Possession9/948.7%
7.67 corners/matchCorners9/94.11 corners/match
1.44 cards/matchCards9/92.22 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls9/914.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
2.44 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.78 goals/match
1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.9 shots/match▲Shots9/911.8 shots/match
5.67 shots/match▲Shots on target9/92.67 shots/match
59.6%Possession9/948.7%
7.67 corners/matchCorners9/94.11 corners/match
1.44 cards/matchCards9/92.22 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls9/914.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
3 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
21 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match
7.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52 shots/match
63.8%Possession5/550.2%
9.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.16 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.11 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 29 Oct 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsInterFiorentina
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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