Serie A · 2025Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina 2–2 Bologna · Serie A

2–2Historical match

Bologna

LWDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina and Bologna drew 2–2.

Shots
196
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
3.720.55
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina and Bologna drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Bologna): shots 19–6, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 3.72–0.55, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots6 shotsFiorentina 19 shots, Bologna 6 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsFiorentina 7 shots, Bologna 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.72 xG0.55 xGFiorentina 3.72 xG, Bologna 0.55 xG
  • Possession50%50%Fiorentina 50%, Bologna 50%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersFiorentina 5 corners, Bologna 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls20 foulsFiorentina 13 fouls, Bologna 20 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards5 cardsFiorentina 3 cards, Bologna 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Abdelhamid Sabiri · Fiorentina · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJuan Miranda · Bologna · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEdin Džeko · Fiorentina · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 40′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarin Pongračić · Fiorentina · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 58′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDodô · Fiorentina · 40′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 46′ · 0.10 xG · on targetGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 66′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 25′ · 0.12 xG · goalMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 46′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · Fiorentina · 12′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 72′ · 0.27 xG · on targetDodô · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blockedLuca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 30′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 52′ · 0.66 xG · goalAlbert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 74′ · 0.82 xG · goalMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 19 shots, 7 on target, 3.71 xG. Bologna: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Albert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 74′Moise Kean · Fiorentina · 90′Santiago Castro · Bologna · 25′Nicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 3.71 xG · Bologna 0.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fiorentina
0Draws
3Bologna
Fiorentina — Bologna · Serie A3–2
Bologna — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0
Bologna — Fiorentina · Serie A2–0
Fiorentina — Bologna · Serie A2–1
Fiorentina — Bologna · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina8 matchesBologna8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.63 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.26 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots8/812.3 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 4 shots/match
50.3%Possession8/8● 56.4%
4 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.88 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards8/82.38 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls8/815.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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