PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeStadio Artemio FranchiFull-time recap
2–2Full-time recap

Bologna

LWDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFiorentinaBologna
Shots19 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession50%50%
Corners5 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match20 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match▲5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fiorentina favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Bologna in 7 · 6 too close

0.88 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲1.63 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲0.88 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/812.3 shots/match
11.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲10.6 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/8▲4 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲3.38 shots/match
50.3%Possessionseason · 8/856.4%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/85.88 corners/match
4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/8▲3.38 corners/match
2.13 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 8/82.38 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/815.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/8▲38%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/875%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fiorentina57.5
Bologna72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fiorentina29.2
Bologna64.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fiorentina32.5
Bologna73.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fiorentina52.5
Bologna12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fiorentina60
Bologna82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fiorentina42.5
Bologna82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fiorentina41.9
Bologna69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.6 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match
47.8%Possession5/561%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls5/516.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.63 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.88 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/matchShots8/812.3 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲4 shots/match
50.3%Possession8/856.4%
4 corners/matchCorners8/85.88 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards8/82.38 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls8/815.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.63 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.88 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/matchShots8/812.3 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲4 shots/match
50.3%Possession8/856.4%
4 corners/matchCorners8/85.88 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards8/82.38 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls8/815.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/51.2 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.3 shots/match▲Shots4/59 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/53.4 shots/match
46.8%Possession4/557%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/56 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/52.8 cards/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls4/516.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.93 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsFiorentinaBologna
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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