PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Olimpico

Lazio 1–0 Juventus · Serie A

Lazio

LLWDD
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 1–0.

Shots
1314
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.781.49
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Juventus 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Juventus): shots 13–14, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.78–1.49, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLazio · Juventus15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLazioJuventusBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Lazio have a visible home split

weak

Lazio's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots14 shotsLazio 13 shots, Juventus 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsLazio 3 shots, Juventus 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG1.49 xGLazio 0.78 xG, Juventus 1.49 xG
  • Possession40%60%Lazio 40%, Juventus 60%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersLazio 2 corners, Juventus 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls18 foulsLazio 11 fouls, Juventus 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsLazio 2 cards, Juventus 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Toma Bašić · Lazio · 9′ · 0.02 xG · goalTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWeston McKennie · Juventus · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDanilo Cataldi · Lazio · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedToma Bašić · Lazio · 62′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJonathan David · Juventus · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 48′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 65′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 75′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 60′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 32′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Juventus · 34′ · 0.12 xG · on targetGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 32′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 39′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 12′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 72′ · 0.41 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.79 xG. Juventus: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Toma Bašić · Lazio · 9′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 0.79 xG · Juventus 1.50 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lazio
1Draws
2Juventus
Lazio — Juventus · Serie A1–1
Juventus — Lazio · Serie A1–0
Lazio — Juventus · Serie A1–0
Juventus — Lazio · Serie A3–1
Lazio — Juventus · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio8 matchesJuventus8 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.13 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81 goal/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.2 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 15.6 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5 shots/match
47.6%Possession8/8● 58.3%
3 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.5 corners/match
1.88 cards/matchCards8/82 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls8/812.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLazioJuventus
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headLazio — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required