PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Thu, 30 Oct 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeArena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo AnconetaniFull-time recap

Pisa

LDLDD
0–0Full-time recap

Lazio

LWDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPisaLazio
Shots10 shots/match11 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession39%61%
Corners3 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Pisa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lazio. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Pisa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pisa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.56 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lazio.

6.04 days▲Rest daysPisa · Lazio4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPisaLazioBaseline
Rest days6.04 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Lazio have a visible away split

moderate

Lazio's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.4 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match10.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Pisa favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Lazio in 8 · 5 too close

0.56 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/9▲1.22 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/9▲0.78 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.22 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/9▲10.7 shots/match
16.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲14.1 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲3.56 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/95 shots/match
39%Possessionseason · 9/949.1%
3.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/92.78 corners/match
5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲4.67 corners/match
1.78 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 9/91.89 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/911.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/9▲56%
33%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/9▲44%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Pisa7.5
Lazio52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Pisa8.3
Lazio45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Pisa18.3
Lazio37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Pisa47.5
Lazio17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Pisa38.8
Lazio26.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Pisa22.5
Lazio5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Pisa20.6
Lazio24.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
7.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲9.2 shots/match
1 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4 shots/match
39.8%Possession5/545.4%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/51.4 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
0.56 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.22 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲0.78 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.22 shots/matchShots9/9▲10.7 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲3.56 shots/match
39%Possession9/949.1%
3.33 corners/matchCorners9/92.78 corners/match
1.78 cards/matchCards9/91.89 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls9/911.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
0.56 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.22 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲0.78 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.22 shots/matchShots9/9▲10.7 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲3.56 shots/match
39%Possession9/949.1%
3.33 corners/matchCorners9/92.78 corners/match
1.78 cards/matchCards9/91.89 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls9/911.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
0 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲0.6 goals/match
0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.4 shots/match▲Shots5/58.4 shots/match
1.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.4 shots/match
44%Possession5/546.8%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/51.8 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 30 Oct 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsPisaLazio
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match