PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Unipol Domus

Cagliari 1–2 Sassuolo · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sassuolo won 1–2.

Shots
812
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.720.56
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sassuolo beat Cagliari 2–1. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Sassuolo): shots 8–12, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.72–0.56, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6.6 shots/match9.33 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots12 shotsCagliari 8 shots, Sassuolo 12 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsCagliari 1 shot, Sassuolo 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.72 xG0.56 xGCagliari 0.72 xG, Sassuolo 0.56 xG
  • Possession46%54%Cagliari 46%, Sassuolo 54%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersCagliari 3 corners, Sassuolo 7 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls21 foulsCagliari 20 fouls, Sassuolo 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsCagliari 4 cards, Sassuolo 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Matteo Prati · Cagliari · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuca Moro · Sassuolo · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCristian Volpato · Sassuolo · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarco Palestra · Cagliari · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlieu Fadera · Sassuolo · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCristian Volpato · Sassuolo · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCristian Volpato · Sassuolo · 44′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIsmael Koné · Sassuolo · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriele Zappa · Cagliari · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarco Palestra · Cagliari · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCristian Volpato · Sassuolo · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 54′ · 0.06 xG · goalMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGennaro Borrelli · Cagliari · 60′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlieu Fadera · Sassuolo · 81′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 65′ · 0.18 xG · goalSebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 73′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cagliari: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.75 xG. Sassuolo: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Sebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 73′Armand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 54′Andrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cagliari 0.75 xG · Sassuolo 0.59 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Cagliari
1Draws
0Sassuolo
Sassuolo — Cagliari · Serie A0–2
Cagliari — Sassuolo · Serie A2–1
Cagliari — Sassuolo · Serie A1–0
Sassuolo — Cagliari · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sassuolo in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari9 matchesSassuolo9 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.11 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1.11 goals/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 0.96 xG/match
9.33 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 9.89 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 3.44 shots/match
45.6% ●Possession9/945%
3 corners/matchCorners9/9● 3.44 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards9/92.78 cards/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls9/914.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 30 Oct 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCagliariSassuolo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headCagliari — Sassuolo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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