Serie A · 2025Mon, 3 Nov 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeStadio OlimpicoFull-time recap

Lazio

WDDWD

2–0Full-time recap

Cagliari

LDLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lazio	Cagliari
Shots	8 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	7 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	18 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lazio. A second useful context is: Lazio's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lazio.

4 days▲Rest daysLazio · Cagliari4.09 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Lazio	Cagliari	Baseline
Rest days	4 days	4.09 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Lazio have a visible home split

moderate

Lazio's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	12.4 shots/match	10.4 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lazio favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Cagliari in 3 · 5 too close

1.3 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/100.9 goals/match

0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 10/101.4 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1010.1 shots/match

14.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/10▲13.5 shots/match

3.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/103.2 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/10▲4.6 shots/match

49.3%Possessionseason · 10/1045.9%

3.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/103.2 corners/match

4.7 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/105.9 corners/match

1.7 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 10/102.4 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1015.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

60%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1010%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/10▲60%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lazio52.5

Cagliari32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lazio46.7

Cagliari27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lazio35.8

Cagliari30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lazio7.5

Cagliari17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lazio17.5

Cagliari83.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lazio17.5

Cagliari17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lazio25

Cagliari40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9 shots/matchShots5/58.8 shots/match

3.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match

48.6%Possession5/548%

2.8 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match

1.4 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match

9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/516.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.4 shots/matchShots10/1010.1 shots/match

3.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match

49.3%Possession10/1045.9%

3.2 corners/matchCorners10/103.2 corners/match

1.7 cards/matchCards10/102.4 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.4 shots/matchShots10/1010.1 shots/match

3.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match

49.3%Possession10/1045.9%

3.2 corners/matchCorners10/103.2 corners/match

1.7 cards/matchCards10/102.4 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.4 shots/match▲Shots5/511.4 shots/match

3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match

51.8%Possession5/546.6%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match

1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/515.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.09 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples10 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 3 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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