Serie A · 2025Mon, 3 Nov 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeMAPEI Stadium - Città del TricoloreFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

Genoa

LLDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSassuoloGenoa
Shots13 shots/match16 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match5 shots/match
Possession61%39%
Corners3 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sassuolo. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.6 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sassuolo.

4 daysRest daysSassuolo · Genoa4.91 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSassuoloGenoaBaseline
Rest days4 days4.91 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Genoa have a visible away split

moderate

Genoa's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sassuolo favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Genoa in 4 · 5 too close

1.1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/100.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/101.4 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
10.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1012.3 shots/match
13.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1010.6 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/103.5 shots/match
4.9 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/103.8 shots/match
46.6%Possessionseason · 10/1049%
3.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/104.5 corners/match
5.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/104.1 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCardsseason · 10/102.8 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1014.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
30%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1020%
70%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1050%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sassuolo37.5
Genoa47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sassuolo37.5
Genoa33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sassuolo30.8
Genoa60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sassuolo12.5
Genoa62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo73.8
Genoa87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo32.5
Genoa62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sassuolo38.8
Genoa57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
11.2 shots/matchShots5/514.4 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
49.2%Possession5/546.8%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.2 shots/matchShots10/1012.3 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/103.5 shots/match
46.6%Possession10/1049%
3.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/102.8 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.2 shots/matchShots10/1012.3 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/103.5 shots/match
46.6%Possession10/1049%
3.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/102.8 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.4 shots/matchShots5/510.4 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
45%Possession5/539.8%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.91 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 3 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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