PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Wed, 29 Oct 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeStadio Renato Dall'AraFull-time recap

Bologna

WDWWD
0–0Full-time recap

Torino

LLDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBolognaTorino
Shots11 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match2 shots/match
Possession71%29%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match20 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible home split

weak

Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match12.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bologna, Torino.

3.11 days▲Rest daysBologna · Torino3.34 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBolognaTorinoBaseline
Rest days3.11 days3.34 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bologna favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Torino in 2 · 5 too close

1.44 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/90.89 goals/match
0.78 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/91.56 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/911.3 shots/match
10.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 9/914.8 shots/match
3.78 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲4.33 shots/match
3.22 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/94.33 shots/match
58%Possessionseason · 9/942.7%
5.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/94.44 corners/match
3.33 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/94.22 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 9/9▲1.89 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/914.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
44%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/944%
67%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/956%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bologna72.5
Torino17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bologna63.3
Torino42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bologna80
Torino23.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bologna12.5
Torino77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bologna78.8
Torino53.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bologna72.5
Torino62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bologna67.5
Torino56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13 shots/matchShots5/512.8 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match
63.4%Possession5/546.6%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
16.4 fouls/matchFouls5/515.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
1.44 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match
0.78 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.1 shots/match▲Shots9/911.3 shots/match
3.78 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.33 shots/match
58%Possession9/942.7%
5.56 corners/matchCorners9/94.44 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards9/91.89 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls9/914.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
1.44 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match
0.78 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.1 shots/match▲Shots9/911.3 shots/match
3.78 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.33 shots/match
58%Possession9/942.7%
5.56 corners/matchCorners9/94.44 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards9/91.89 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls9/914.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches
1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/51 goals/match
0.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16 shots/match▲Shots4/511.8 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/54.4 shots/match
59.3%Possession4/542%
5 corners/matchCorners4/54 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards4/52.4 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls4/515.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.11 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.34 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 29 Oct 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBolognaTorino
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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