PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeMAPEI Stadium - Città del TricoloreFull-time recap
0–1Full-time recap

AS Roma

LWWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSassuoloAS Roma
Shots11 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target1 shots/match8 shots/match▲
Possession41%59%
Corners6 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AS Roma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sassuolo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

AS Roma's recent record differs from the season

weak

AS Roma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sassuolo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sassuolo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.63 shots/match▲ShotsSassuolo · AS Roma13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloAS RomaBaseline
Shots9.63 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match10.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

AS Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.9%▲PossessionSassuolo · AS Roma59%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloAS RomaBaseline
Possession43.9%59%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sassuolo favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · AS Roma in 9 · 5 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/81 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲0.38 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.63 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/8▲13.4 shots/match
14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲10.1 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/8▲5.13 shots/match
5.38 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲2.63 shots/match
43.9%Possessionseason · 8/859%
3 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/85.5 corners/match
5.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/8▲3.38 corners/match
2.63 cards/matchCardsseason · 8/8▲1.75 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/815.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
38%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/8▲63%
63%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲75%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sassuolo22.5
AS Roma90
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sassuolo31.7
AS Roma62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sassuolo30.8
AS Roma93.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sassuolo22.5
AS Roma32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo67.5
AS Roma56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo10
AS Roma70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sassuolo28.1
AS Roma75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.4 shots/match
42.8%Possession5/555.8%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/517.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored8/81 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.38 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.63 shots/matchShots8/8▲13.4 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲5.13 shots/match
43.9%Possession8/859%
3 corners/matchCorners8/85.5 corners/match
2.63 cards/matchCards8/81.75 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls8/815.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored8/81 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.38 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.63 shots/matchShots8/8▲13.4 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲5.13 shots/match
43.9%Possession8/859%
3 corners/matchCorners8/85.5 corners/match
2.63 cards/matchCards8/81.75 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls8/815.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.25 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.75 shots/matchShots4/4▲11.5 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.5 shots/match
41%Possession4/458.5%
2.75 corners/matchCorners4/45.75 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls4/417.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.8 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSassuoloAS Roma
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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