PitchMath
Serie A · 2025MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo 0–1 Roma · Serie A

0–1Historical match

Roma

LWWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 0–1.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
18
Expected goals
1.061.74
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Roma beat Sassuolo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sassuolo – AS Roma): shots 11–15, shots on target 1–8, expected goals 1.06–1.74, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AS Roma's recent record differs from the season

weak

AS Roma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sassuolo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sassuolo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.63 shots/match ▲ShotsSassuolo · AS Roma13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloAS RomaBaseline
Shots9.63 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match10.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

AS Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.9%PossessionSassuolo · AS Roma● 59%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloAS RomaBaseline
Possession43.9%59%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsSassuolo 11 shots, Roma 15 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot8 shotsSassuolo 1 shot, Roma 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.06 xG1.74 xGSassuolo 1.06 xG, Roma 1.74 xG
  • Possession41%59%Sassuolo 41%, Roma 59%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersSassuolo 6 corners, Roma 6 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls16 foulsSassuolo 18 fouls, Roma 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsSassuolo 3 cards, Roma 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bryan Cristante · AS Roma · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Walukiewicz · Sassuolo · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNeil El Aynaoui · AS Roma · 32′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNemanja Matić · Sassuolo · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFilippo Romagna · Sassuolo · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Sassuolo · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Tsimikas · AS Roma · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Koné · Sassuolo · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · AS Roma · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlieu Fadera · Sassuolo · 7′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedZeki Çelik · AS Roma · 57′ · 0.06 xG · on targetWesley · AS Roma · 76′ · 0.07 xG · on targetWesley · AS Roma · 77′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetBryan Cristante · AS Roma · 16′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBryan Cristante · AS Roma · 33′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 64′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedWesley · AS Roma · 83′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · AS Roma · 16′ · 0.18 xG · goalZeki Çelik · AS Roma · 80′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 27′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 5′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · AS Roma · 68′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sassuolo: 11 shots, 1 on target, 1.04 xG. AS Roma: 15 shots, 8 on target, 1.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Paulo Dybala · AS Roma · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sassuolo 1.04 xG · AS Roma 1.78 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sassuolo
2Draws
2Roma
Roma — Sassuolo · Serie A1–0
Sassuolo — Roma · Serie A1–2
Roma — Sassuolo · Serie A3–4
Sassuolo — Roma · Serie A1–1
Sassuolo — Roma · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sassuolo favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sassuolo8 matchesRoma8 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored8/81 goal/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.38 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.25 xG/match
9.63 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.13 shots/match
43.9%Possession8/8● 59%
3 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.5 corners/match
2.63 cards/matchCards8/81.75 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls8/815.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSassuoloRoma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headSassuolo — Roma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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