PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona 2–2 Cagliari · Serie A

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hellas Verona and Cagliari drew 2–2.

Shots
107
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.020.44
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hellas Verona and Cagliari drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Hellas Verona – Cagliari): shots 10–7, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.02–0.44, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

weak

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hellas Verona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Hellas Verona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHellas Verona · Cagliari9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaCagliariBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match9.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match14.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

16.5 fouls/matchFoulsHellas Verona · Cagliari15 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaCagliariBaseline
Fouls16.5 fouls/match15 fouls/match13.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots7 shotsHellas Verona 10 shots, Cagliari 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsHellas Verona 6 shots, Cagliari 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.02 xG0.44 xGHellas Verona 2.02 xG, Cagliari 0.44 xG
  • Possession37%63%Hellas Verona 37%, Cagliari 63%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersHellas Verona 3 corners, Cagliari 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsHellas Verona 16 fouls, Cagliari 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsHellas Verona 3 cards, Cagliari 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Roberto Gagliardini · Hellas Verona · 23′ · 0.01 xG · goalGiovane · Hellas Verona · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Valentini · Hellas Verona · 68′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGiovane · Hellas Verona · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 13′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMatteo Prati · Cagliari · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMattia Felici · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.04 xG · goalSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGennaro Borrelli · Cagliari · 3′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 34′ · 0.14 xG · on targetGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 55′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedRiyad Idrissi · Cagliari · 77′ · 0.22 xG · goalGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 59′ · 0.42 xG · goalGiovane · Hellas Verona · 55′ · 0.62 xG · on targetGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 34′ · 0.64 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hellas Verona: 10 shots, 6 on target, 2.07 xG. Cagliari: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Roberto Gagliardini · Hellas Verona · 23′Gift Orban · Hellas Verona · 59′Riyad Idrissi · Cagliari · 77′Mattia Felici · Cagliari · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hellas Verona 2.07 xG · Cagliari 0.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Hellas Verona
1Draws
2Cagliari
Hellas Verona — Cagliari · Serie A0–2
Cagliari — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–0
Cagliari — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–1
Hellas Verona — Cagliari · Serie A2–0
Cagliari — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hellas Verona favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hellas Verona8 matchesCagliari8 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1 goal/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.86 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots8/89.5 shots/match
5.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.25 shots/match
39.9%Possession8/8● 45.5%
4.13 corners/match ●Corners8/83 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards8/82.25 cards/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls8/815 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHellas VeronaCagliari
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headHellas Verona — Cagliari
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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