PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeStadio Marcantonio BentegodiFull-time recap
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricHellas VeronaCagliari
Shots10 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession37%63%
Corners3 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Hellas Verona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

weak

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hellas Verona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Hellas Verona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsHellas Verona · Cagliari9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaCagliariBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match9.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match14.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

16.5 fouls/match▲FoulsHellas Verona · Cagliari15 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaCagliariBaseline
Fouls16.5 fouls/match15 fouls/match13.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Hellas Verona favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Cagliari in 3 · 5 too close

0.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲1 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.25 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/89.5 shots/match
10.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 8/814.4 shots/match
5.13 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/83.25 shots/match
3.38 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 8/84.88 shots/match
39.9%Possessionseason · 8/845.5%
4.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/83 corners/match
4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/85.63 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 8/82.25 cards/match
16.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/815 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/813%
38%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲63%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hellas Verona7.5
Cagliari37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hellas Verona55.8
Cagliari26.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hellas Verona58.3
Cagliari29.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hellas Verona97.5
Cagliari7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona82.5
Cagliari72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona50
Cagliari10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hellas Verona76.2
Cagliari31.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/58 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
41.2%Possession5/547%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
16.2 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots8/89.5 shots/match
5.13 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.25 shots/match
39.9%Possession8/845.5%
4.13 corners/matchCorners8/83 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards8/82.25 cards/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls8/815 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots8/89.5 shots/match
5.13 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.25 shots/match
39.9%Possession8/845.5%
4.13 corners/matchCorners8/83 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards8/82.25 cards/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls8/815 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.25 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.3 shots/match▲Shots4/410 shots/match
7 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43 shots/match
42.3%Possession4/446%
5.5 corners/matchCorners4/42.75 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards4/42.5 cards/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls4/414.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.04 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsHellas VeronaCagliari
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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