PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Wed, 29 Oct 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe SinigagliaFull-time recap

Como

WDDWD
3–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricComoHellas Verona
Shots15 shots/match▲13 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match9 shots/match▲
Possession71%29%
Corners1 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match21 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hellas Verona. A second useful context is: Como have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hellas Verona.

4.19 days▲Rest daysComo · Hellas Verona3.15 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricComoHellas VeronaBaseline
Rest days4.19 days3.15 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.4%▲PossessionComo · Hellas Verona38.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricComoHellas VeronaBaseline
Possession59.4%38.7%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.3 fouls/match▲FoulsComo · Hellas Verona17 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricComoHellas VeronaBaseline
Fouls15.3 fouls/match17 fouls/match13.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Como favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 3 · 7 too close

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/90.56 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/91.56 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/913.6 shots/match
11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/911.3 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲5.56 shots/match
3.44 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/93.56 shots/match
59.4%Possessionseason · 9/938.7%
3.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/94 corners/match
3.89 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲3.67 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 9/9▲2.44 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/917 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/922%
78%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/944%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Como87.5
Hellas Verona2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Como66.7
Hellas Verona54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Como72.5
Hellas Verona47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Como32.5
Hellas Verona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Como92.5
Hellas Verona88.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Como32.5
Hellas Verona37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Como65
Hellas Verona71.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.4 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6 shots/match
58.8%Possession5/541.4%
3 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/516.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.56 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.7 shots/matchShots9/913.6 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲5.56 shots/match
59.4%Possession9/938.7%
3.44 corners/matchCorners9/94 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards9/92.44 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls9/917 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.56 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.7 shots/matchShots9/913.6 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲5.56 shots/match
59.4%Possession9/938.7%
3.44 corners/matchCorners9/94 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards9/92.44 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls9/917 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.6 shots/match▲Shots5/512.2 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match
58%Possession5/535.8%
3 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/517.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.15 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 29 Oct 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsComoHellas Verona
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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