PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Wed, 29 Oct 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeStadio OlimpicoFull-time recap

AS Roma

WWWLW
2–1Full-time recap

Parma

DWLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAS RomaParma
Shots18 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Possession60%40%
Corners9 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Parma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for AS Roma. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Parma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Parma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.44 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for AS Roma.

3.15 days▲Rest daysAS Roma · Parma4.19 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAS RomaParmaBaseline
Rest days3.15 days4.19 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Parma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match▲ShotsAS Roma · Parma9.89 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaParmaBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match9.89 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against9.89 shots/match13.3 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

AS Roma favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Parma in 0 · 4 too close

1.11 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/90.44 goals/match
0.44 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/91 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/99.89 shots/match
9.89 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 9/913.3 shots/match
5.22 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/92.78 shots/match
2.89 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/94.33 shots/match
59.1%Possessionseason · 9/942.1%
5.89 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/93.11 corners/match
3.22 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/94.67 corners/match
1.56 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 9/92.11 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/911.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
56%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/933%
78%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/933%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AS Roma82.5
Parma12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AS Roma67.5
Parma16.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AS Roma90.8
Parma44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AS Roma47.5
Parma42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AS Roma40
Parma35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AS Roma82.5
Parma22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AS Roma76.2
Parma21.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shots5/58.4 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.4 shots/match
57.6%Possession5/540%
6.2 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
1.11 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.44 goals/match
0.44 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.9 shots/match▲Shots9/99.89 shots/match
5.22 shots/match▲Shots on target9/92.78 shots/match
59.1%Possession9/942.1%
5.89 corners/matchCorners9/93.11 corners/match
1.56 cards/matchCards9/92.11 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls9/911.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
1.11 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.44 goals/match
0.44 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.9 shots/match▲Shots9/99.89 shots/match
5.22 shots/match▲Shots on target9/92.78 shots/match
59.1%Possession9/942.1%
5.89 corners/matchCorners9/93.11 corners/match
1.56 cards/matchCards9/92.11 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls9/911.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.2 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.8 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
59.6%Possession5/540.8%
6 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.19 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 29 Oct 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAS RomaParma
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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