PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeStadio Ennio TardiniFull-time recap

Parma

WLDDL
1–3Full-time recap

Bologna

DWWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricParmaBologna
Shots7 shots/match22 shots/match▲
Shots on target1 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession35%65%
Corners1 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Parma, Bologna. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.6 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Parma, Bologna.

3.98 days▲Rest daysParma · Bologna3.89 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricParmaBolognaBaseline
Rest days3.98 days3.89 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Parma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.6 shots/match▲ShotsParma · Bologna13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParmaBolognaBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against14.2 shots/match10 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Parma favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Bologna in 9 · 5 too close

0.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/10▲1.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/10▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/10▲13.1 shots/match
14.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/10▲10 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/10▲4 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/10▲3 shots/match
41.4%Possessionseason · 10/1058.7%
2.9 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/105.5 corners/match
4.7 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/10▲3.1 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCardsseason · 10/102.3 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1015.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
30%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/10▲40%
40%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/10▲70%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Parma12.5
Bologna77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Parma10.8
Bologna68.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Parma32.5
Bologna85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Parma37.5
Bologna22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Parma47.5
Bologna71.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Parma12.5
Bologna75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Parma15
Bologna68.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
7.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.6 shots/match
2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5 shots/match
39.6%Possession5/563%
2 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/516.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.6 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.1 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4 shots/match
41.4%Possession10/1058.7%
2.9 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.6 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.1 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4 shots/match
41.4%Possession10/1058.7%
2.9 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/6▲1.5 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/61.17 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.4 shots/matchShots5/6▲11.2 shots/match
2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/6▲3.83 shots/match
42%Possession5/658.3%
2.6 corners/matchCorners5/65.83 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/62.67 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/616.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.89 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsParmaBologna
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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