PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeStadio Marcantonio BentegodiFull-time recap
1–2Full-time recap

Inter

WWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricHellas VeronaInter
Shots8 shots/match21 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession27%73%
Corners4 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match4 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.6 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match▲ShotsHellas Verona · Inter19.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaInterBaseline
Shots13 shots/match19.1 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match9.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hellas Verona, Inter.

3.75 days▲Rest daysHellas Verona · Inter3.66 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricHellas VeronaInterBaseline
Rest days3.75 days3.66 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Hellas Verona favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Inter in 10 · 4 too close

0.6 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/10▲2.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/10▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/10▲19.1 shots/match
12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/10▲9.2 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/10▲5.7 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/10▲3.2 shots/match
37.5%Possessionseason · 10/1060.9%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/107.7 corners/match
4.1 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/10▲3.4 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCardsseason · 10/10▲1.4 cards/match
16.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1013.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/10▲40%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/10▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hellas Verona2.5
Inter97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hellas Verona50.8
Inter97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hellas Verona39.2
Inter73.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hellas Verona97.5
Inter92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona86.2
Inter26.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona37.5
Inter97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hellas Verona68.8
Inter84.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲19.4 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55.8 shots/match
38.2%Possession5/560.6%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/57.6 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
16.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13 shots/matchShots10/10▲19.1 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.7 shots/match
37.5%Possession10/1060.9%
4 corners/matchCorners10/107.7 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/101.4 cards/match
16.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13 shots/matchShots10/10▲19.1 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.7 shots/match
37.5%Possession10/1060.9%
4 corners/matchCorners10/107.7 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/101.4 cards/match
16.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲17.2 shots/match
6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match
39.2%Possession5/558%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
16.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.75 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.66 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsHellas VeronaInter
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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