Inter 2–1 Kairat Almaty — UEFA Champions League 2025/26 Match Stats

UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCSan Siro/Giuseppe Meazza

Inter

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2–1Historical match

Kairat Almaty

DDLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 2–1.

Shots: 237
Shots on target: 93
Expected goals: 2.120.15
Possession: 66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Kairat Almaty 2–1. Recorded in this match (Inter – Kairat Almaty): shots 23–7, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 2.12–0.15, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kairat Almaty's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Kairat Almaty's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	0.75 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Kairat Almaty have a visible away split

moderate

Kairat Almaty's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.5 shots/match	11.9 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

Shots23 shots7 shotsInter 23 shots, Kairat Almaty 7 shots
Shots on target9 shots3 shotsInter 9 shots, Kairat Almaty 3 shots
Expected goals2.12 xG0.15 xGInter 2.12 xG, Kairat Almaty 0.15 xG
Possession66%34%Inter 66%, Kairat Almaty 34%
Corners9 corners3 cornersInter 9 corners, Kairat Almaty 3 corners
Fouls9 fouls16 foulsInter 9 fouls, Kairat Almaty 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Inter: 23 shots, 9 on target, 2.24 xG. Kairat Almaty: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 2.24 xG · Kairat Almaty 0.16 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Kairat Almaty in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter4 matchesKairat Almaty12 matches

2.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/120.75 goals/match

0.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/121.25 goals/match

2.97 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.71 xG/match

19.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/711.9 shots/match

6.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/73.29 shots/match

59.3% ●Possession4/739.3%

5.75 corners/match ●Corners4/74 corners/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/712.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples4 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 6 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4