UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeSan Siro/Giuseppe MeazzaFull-time recap

Inter

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2–1Full-time recap

Kairat Almaty

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This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Inter	Kairat Almaty
Shots	23 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.12 xG/match▲	0.15 xG/match
Possession	66%	34%
Corners	9 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Inter: 23 shots, 9 on target, 2.24 xG. Kairat Almaty: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 2.24 xG · Kairat Almaty 0.16 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Kairat Almaty's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Kairat Almaty's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Kairat Almaty's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Kairat Almaty's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	0.75 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Kairat Almaty have a visible away split

moderate

Kairat Almaty's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.5 shots/match	11.9 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Inter favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Kairat Almaty in 0 · 14 too close

2.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/120.75 goals/match

0.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/121.25 goals/match

2.97 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/40.71 xG/match

0.62 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/42.94 xG/match

19.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/711.9 shots/match

8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/715.9 shots/match

6.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/73.29 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/76.43 shots/match

59.3%Possessionseason · 4/739.3%

5.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/74 corners/match

2.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/77.86 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/712.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

75%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/1250%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/1250%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter90.5

Kairat Almaty6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 58%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter86.4

Kairat Almaty23.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 72%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter94

Kairat Almaty30.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 72%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter86.9

Kairat Almaty60.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 58%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter45.2

Kairat Almaty72.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 29%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter78.6

Kairat Almaty34.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 58%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter72.9

Kairat Almaty40.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 58%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 5 matches

2.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/50.4 goals/match

0.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/52.2 goals/match

2.97 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.71 xG/match

19.8 shots/match▲Shots4/512.2 shots/match

6.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/53.4 shots/match

59.3%Possession4/541%

5.75 corners/matchCorners4/54 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 10 matches

2.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/100.6 goals/match

0.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/101.4 goals/match

2.97 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.71 xG/match

19.8 shots/match▲Shots4/711.9 shots/match

6.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/73.29 shots/match

59.3%Possession4/739.3%

5.75 corners/matchCorners4/74 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/712.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 12 matches

2.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/120.75 goals/match

0.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/121.25 goals/match

2.97 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.71 xG/match

19.8 shots/match▲Shots4/711.9 shots/match

6.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/73.29 shots/match

59.3%Possession4/739.3%

5.75 corners/matchCorners4/74 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/712.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 6 matches

—Goals scored2/60.5 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/61.67 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/49.5 shots/match

—Shots on target2/43.25 shots/match

—Possession2/435%

—Corners2/43.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/414.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 6 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Kairat Almaty's recent record differs from the season

Kairat Almaty have a visible away split

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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