PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeUnipol DomusFull-time recap
0–2Full-time recap

Bologna

WLWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCagliariBologna
Shots4 shots/match10 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match7 shots/match▲
Possession42%58%
Corners2 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match22 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible away split

weak

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.75 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Cagliari show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.86 shots/match▲ShotsCagliari · Bologna13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCagliariBolognaBaseline
Shots9.86 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match9.43 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Cagliari favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Bologna in 10 · 4 too close

0.86 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/7▲1.57 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/7▲0.71 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.86 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/7▲13.1 shots/match
15 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/7▲9.43 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/7▲4.14 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/7▲2.86 shots/match
43%Possessionseason · 7/757.3%
3.14 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/75.86 corners/match
6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/7▲3.14 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 7/7▲1.86 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/715 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/7▲43%
57%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/7▲71%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cagliari17.5
Bologna77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cagliari29.2
Bologna62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cagliari30.8
Bologna88.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cagliari37.5
Bologna42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cagliari68.8
Bologna55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cagliari15
Bologna87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cagliari36.2
Bologna63.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.4 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5 shots/match
44.6%Possession5/563.2%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1.57 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲0.71 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.86 shots/matchShots7/7▲13.1 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲4.14 shots/match
43%Possession7/757.3%
3.14 corners/matchCorners7/75.86 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards7/71.86 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls7/715 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1.57 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲0.71 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.86 shots/matchShots7/7▲13.1 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲4.14 shots/match
43%Possession7/757.3%
3.14 corners/matchCorners7/75.86 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards7/71.86 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls7/715 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9 shots/matchShots4/4▲9.75 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/43.5 shots/match
45%Possession4/458.8%
3.25 corners/matchCorners4/46 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls4/416 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCagliariBologna
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match