PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Unipol Domus

Cagliari 0–2 Bologna · Serie A

0–2Historical match

Bologna

WLWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 0–2.

Shots
410
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.221.11
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Cagliari 2–0. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Bologna): shots 4–10, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.22–1.11, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible away split

weak

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Cagliari show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.86 shots/match ▲ShotsCagliari · Bologna13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCagliariBolognaBaseline
Shots9.86 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match9.43 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots10 shotsCagliari 4 shots, Bologna 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsCagliari 3 shots, Bologna 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.22 xG1.11 xGCagliari 0.22 xG, Bologna 1.11 xG
  • Possession42%58%Cagliari 42%, Bologna 58%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersCagliari 2 corners, Bologna 7 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls22 foulsCagliari 15 fouls, Bologna 22 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsCagliari 1 card, Bologna 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Bernardeschi · Bologna · 30′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFederico Bernardeschi · Bologna · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 80′ · 0.03 xG · goalRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSebastiano Luperto · Cagliari · 78′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 30′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMattia Felici · Cagliari · 42′ · 0.19 xG · on targetTommaso Pobega · Bologna · 84′ · 0.30 xG · on targetEmil Holm · Bologna · 31′ · 0.61 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cagliari: 4 shots, 3 on target, 0.33 xG. Bologna: 10 shots, 7 on target, 1.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Emil Holm · Bologna · 31′Riccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cagliari 0.33 xG · Bologna 1.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cagliari
0Draws
3Bologna
Bologna — Cagliari · Serie A2–1
Cagliari — Bologna · Serie A0–2
Cagliari — Bologna · Serie A2–1
Bologna — Cagliari · Serie A2–1
Cagliari — Bologna · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari7 matchesBologna7 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.71 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.36 xG/match
9.86 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.14 shots/match
43%Possession7/7● 57.3%
3.14 corners/matchCorners7/7● 5.86 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards7/71.86 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls7/715 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCagliariBologna
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headCagliari — Bologna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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