PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Louis II

AS Monaco 0–1 Paris FC · Ligue 1

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris FC won 0–1.

Shots
109
Shots on target
11
Expected goals
0.610.85
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris FC beat Monaco 1–0. Recorded in this match (Monaco – Paris FC): shots 10–9, shots on target 1–1, expected goals 0.61–0.85, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Monaco, Paris FC.

2.91 days ▲Rest daysMonaco · Paris FC2.91 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMonacoParis FCBaseline
Rest days2.91 days2.91 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Paris FC have a visible away split

moderate

Paris FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Monaco's recent record differs from the season

weak

Monaco's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsAS Monaco 10 shots, Paris FC 9 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot1 shotAS Monaco 1 shot, Paris FC 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.61 xG0.85 xGAS Monaco 0.61 xG, Paris FC 0.85 xG
  • Possession55%45%AS Monaco 55%, Paris FC 45%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersAS Monaco 3 corners, Paris FC 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsAS Monaco 10 fouls, Paris FC 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsAS Monaco 3 cards, Paris FC 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pierre Lees Melou · Paris FC · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKrépin Diatta · Monaco · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIlan Kebbal · Paris FC · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPierre Lees Melou · Paris FC · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMika Biereth · Monaco · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKrépin Diatta · Monaco · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSamir Chergui · Paris FC · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · Monaco · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSamir Chergui · Paris FC · 31′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Monaco · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 14′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPierre Lees Melou · Paris FC · 76′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMoustapha Mbow · Paris FC · 31′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 58′ · 0.35 xG · on targetMoses Simon · Paris FC · 53′ · 0.48 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monaco: 10 shots, 1 on target, 0.81 xG. Paris FC: 9 shots, 1 on target, 1.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Moses Simon · Paris FC · 53′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monaco 0.81 xG · Paris FC 1.01 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AS Monaco favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Paris FC in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AS Monaco11 matchesParis FC11 matches
2.09 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.64 goals/match
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.82 goals/match
2.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.31 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots11/1112.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target11/114.09 shots/match
55.9% ●Possession11/1155.5%
4.27 corners/matchCorners11/11● 4.64 corners/match
2.82 cards/matchCards11/112 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAS MonacoParis FC
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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