PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain 1–0 Nice · Ligue 1

1–0Historical match

Nice

DDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 1–0.

Shots
285
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
1.840.48
Possession
77%23%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint Germain beat Nice 1–0. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint Germain – Nice): shots 28–5, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 1.84–0.48, possession 77%–23%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.5 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint Germain · Nice11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainNiceBaseline
Shots17.5 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against8.45 shots/match17.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Nice's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nice's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Paris Saint Germain, Nice.

2.92 days ▲Rest daysParis Saint Germain · Nice2.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricParis Saint GermainNiceBaseline
Rest days2.92 days2.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots28 shots5 shotsParis Saint-Germain 28 shots, Nice 5 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsParis Saint-Germain 8 shots, Nice 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.84 xG0.48 xGParis Saint-Germain 1.84 xG, Nice 0.48 xG
  • Possession77%23%Paris Saint-Germain 77%, Nice 23%
  • Corners11 corners1 cornerParis Saint-Germain 11 corners, Nice 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls5 foulsParis Saint-Germain 12 fouls, Nice 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardParis Saint-Germain 3 cards, Nice 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

João Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 14′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Sanson · Nice · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint Germain · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint Germain · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 80′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Mendy · Nice · 89′ · 0.05 xG · on targetWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint Germain · 18′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 36′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 46′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJérémie Boga · Nice · 82′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 65′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 76′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAbdulay Juma Bah · Nice · 32′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKojo Peprah Oppong · Nice · 32′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.17 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 39′ · 0.18 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 80′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.31 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint Germain: 28 shots, 8 on target, 1.82 xG. Nice: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Gonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint Germain 1.82 xG · Nice 0.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Paris Saint-Germain
1Draws
2Nice
Paris Saint-Germain — Nice · Ligue 11–3
Nice — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–1
Nice — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2
Paris Saint-Germain — Nice · Ligue 12–3
Nice — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Nice in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain11 matchesNice11 matches
1.91 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.45 goals/match
0.82 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.45 goals/match
1.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.19 xG/match
17.5 shots/match ▲Shots11/1111.1 shots/match
6.64 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/113.91 shots/match
72.4% ●Possession11/1145.3%
6.64 corners/match ●Corners11/114.73 corners/match
1.18 cards/matchCards11/112.27 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainNice
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — Nice
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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