Ligue 1 · 2025Stade de la Beaujoire

Nantes 3–5 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

Nantes

DDDLW
3–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 3–5.

Shots
1819
Shots on target
59
Expected goals
1.624.31
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Monaco beat Nantes 5–3. Recorded in this match (Nantes – Monaco): shots 18–19, shots on target 5–9, expected goals 1.62–4.31, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nantes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Monaco show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Monaco's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsNantes · Monaco12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNantesMonacoBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against16.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Monaco have a visible away split

moderate

Monaco's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots19 shotsNantes 18 shots, AS Monaco 19 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots9 shotsNantes 5 shots, AS Monaco 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.62 xG4.31 xGNantes 1.62 xG, AS Monaco 4.31 xG
  • Possession48%52%Nantes 48%, AS Monaco 52%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersNantes 1 corner, AS Monaco 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls17 foulsNantes 13 fouls, AS Monaco 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards7 cardsNantes 3 cards, AS Monaco 7 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Matthis Abline · Nantes · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBahmed Deuff · Nantes · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLouis Leroux · Nantes · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabien Centonze · Nantes · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 13′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBahereba Guirassy · Nantes · 38′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKelvin Amian · Nantes · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDehmaine Tabibou · Nantes · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · Monaco · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · Monaco · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBahmed Deuff · Nantes · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPape Cabral · Monaco · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThilo Kehrer · Monaco · 27′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDehmaine Tabibou · Nantes · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Monaco · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedYoussef El Arabi · Nantes · 18′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 90′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMatthis Abline · Nantes · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Coulibaly · Monaco · 48′ · 0.19 xG · on targetYoussef El Arabi · Nantes · 45′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBahereba Guirassy · Nantes · 45′ · 0.20 xG · goalAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 75′ · 0.20 xG · goalMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 55′ · 0.22 xG · goalBahereba Guirassy · Nantes · 19′ · 0.27 xG · goalMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 80′ · 0.30 xG · goalMamadou Coulibaly · Monaco · 6′ · 0.33 xG · goalKrépin Diatta · Monaco · 27′ · 0.46 xG · on targetFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 14′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 41′ · 0.54 xG · goalThilo Kehrer · Monaco · 17′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 90′ · 0.81 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nantes: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.67 xG. Monaco: 19 shots, 9 on target, 4.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Bahereba Guirassy · Nantes · 19′Bahereba Guirassy · Nantes · 45′Mostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 80′Mamadou Coulibaly · Monaco · 6′Folarin Balogun · Monaco · 41′Maghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 55′Aleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 75′Aleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 1.67 xG · Monaco 4.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Nantes
3Draws
2AS Monaco
AS Monaco — Nantes · Ligue 17–1
Nantes — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–2
AS Monaco — Nantes · Ligue 14–0
Nantes — AS Monaco · Ligue 13–3
Nantes — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantes favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantes10 matchesAS Monaco10 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 2.3 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 2.3 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 12.9 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 4.3 shots/match
42.7%Possession10/10● 56%
3.4 corners/matchCorners10/10● 4.4 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards10/102.8 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 30 Oct 2025, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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