PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Philips Stadion

PSV Eindhoven 5–2 Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie

5–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 5–2.

Shots
2110
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.030.73
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat Fortuna Sittard 5–2. Recorded in this match (PSV Eindhoven – Fortuna Sittard): shots 21–10, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.03–0.73, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortuna Sittard have a visible away split

moderate

Fortuna Sittard's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.1 shots/match ▲ShotsPSV Eindhoven · Fortuna Sittard12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenFortuna SittardBaseline
Shots19.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match14.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Fortuna Sittard's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fortuna Sittard's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.45 goals/match1.65 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots10 shotsPSV Eindhoven 21 shots, Fortuna Sittard 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsPSV Eindhoven 6 shots, Fortuna Sittard 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.03 xG0.73 xGPSV Eindhoven 2.03 xG, Fortuna Sittard 0.73 xG
  • Possession63%37%PSV Eindhoven 63%, Fortuna Sittard 37%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersPSV Eindhoven 7 corners, Fortuna Sittard 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsPSV Eindhoven 8 fouls, Fortuna Sittard 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 89′ · 0.01 xG · goalGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRyan Fosso · Fortuna Sittard · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJustin Lonwijk · Fortuna Sittard · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJustin Lonwijk · Fortuna Sittard · 68′ · 0.04 xG · goalKristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Sittard · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMakan Aïko · Fortuna Sittard · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 15′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 9′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 45′ · 0.09 xG · goalIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 7′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 17′ · 0.10 xG · goalIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 28′ · 0.11 xG · goalGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 32′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 42′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 87′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.15 xG · goalMakan Aïko · Fortuna Sittard · 53′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDimitris Limnios · Fortuna Sittard · 26′ · 0.29 xG · on targetRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 82′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PSV Eindhoven: 21 shots, 6 on target, 2.02 xG. Fortuna Sittard: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ismael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 17′Ismael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 28′Dennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 45′Ricardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 82′Guus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 90′Justin Lonwijk · Fortuna Sittard · 68′Kaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PSV Eindhoven 2.02 xG · Fortuna Sittard 0.77 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4PSV Eindhoven
1Draws
0Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie4–1
Fortuna Sittard — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–3
Fortuna Sittard — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–1
PSV Eindhoven — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie3–1
PSV Eindhoven — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PSV Eindhoven favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Fortuna Sittard in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PSV Eindhoven11 matchesFortuna Sittard11 matches
3.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.45 goals/match
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.82 goals/match
2.09 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.07 xG/match
19.1 shots/match ▲Shots11/1112.3 shots/match
7.64 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/114.18 shots/match
60.4% ●Possession11/1148.3%
6.45 corners/match ●Corners11/113.91 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 31 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headPSV Eindhoven — Fortuna Sittard
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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