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Eredivisie · 2025Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Fortuna Sittard 1–2 FC Groningen · Eredivisie

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Groningen won 1–2.

Shots
916
Shots on target
310
Expected goals
1.21.77
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Groningen beat Fortuna Sittard 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fortuna Sittard – FC Groningen): shots 9–16, shots on target 3–10, expected goals 1.2–1.77, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortuna Sittard's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fortuna Sittard's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.4 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fortuna Sittard have a visible home split

moderate

Fortuna Sittard's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fortuna Sittard show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fortuna Sittard's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsFortuna Sittard · FC Groningen13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFortuna SittardFC GroningenBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against13.9 shots/match11.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsFortuna Sittard 9 shots, FC Groningen 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots10 shotsFortuna Sittard 3 shots, FC Groningen 10 shots
  • Expected goals1.2 xG1.77 xGFortuna Sittard 1.2 xG, FC Groningen 1.77 xG
  • Possession57%43%Fortuna Sittard 57%, FC Groningen 43%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersFortuna Sittard 7 corners, FC Groningen 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsFortuna Sittard 14 fouls, FC Groningen 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Sittard · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTika de Jonge · FC Groningen · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetStije Resink · FC Groningen · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJasper Dahlhaus · Fortuna Sittard · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid van der Werff · FC Groningen · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 26′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPaul Gladon · Fortuna Sittard · 75′ · 0.04 xG · goalDavid van der Werff · FC Groningen · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIván Márquez · Fortuna Sittard · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStije Resink · FC Groningen · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 15′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDavid van der Werff · FC Groningen · 6′ · 0.09 xG · goalStije Resink · FC Groningen · 23′ · 0.10 xG · on targetThijmen Blokzijl · FC Groningen · 49′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMats Seuntjens · FC Groningen · 86′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDavid van der Werff · FC Groningen · 48′ · 0.19 xG · on targetJustin Lonwijk · Fortuna Sittard · 45′ · 0.20 xG · on targetJorg Schreuders · FC Groningen · 70′ · 0.20 xG · on targetThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 55′ · 0.25 xG · on targetKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 47′ · 0.29 xG · on targetKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 49′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Peersman · FC Groningen · 61′ · 0.32 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fortuna Sittard: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.05 xG. FC Groningen: 16 shots, 10 on target, 1.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Paul Gladon · Fortuna Sittard · 75′David van der Werff · FC Groningen · 6′Marvin Peersman · FC Groningen · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fortuna Sittard 1.05 xG · FC Groningen 1.76 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Fortuna Sittard
0Draws
1FC Groningen
FC Groningen — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie1–0
Fortuna Sittard — FC Groningen · Eredivisie1–0
Fortuna Sittard — FC Groningen · Eredivisie3–1
FC Groningen — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie2–3
FC Groningen — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortuna Sittard favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Groningen in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortuna Sittard10 matchesFC Groningen10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.34 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 13.5 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 6 shots/match
49.4% ●Possession10/1049%
3.9 corners/matchCorners10/10● 4.8 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortuna SittardFC Groningen
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFortuna Sittard — FC Groningen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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