PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Het Kasteel

Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 SC Telstar · Eredivisie

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sparta Rotterdam won 1–0.

Shots
1414
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.790.63
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sparta Rotterdam beat SC Telstar 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sparta Rotterdam – SC Telstar): shots 14–14, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.79–0.63, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Telstar show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SC Telstar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSparta Rotterdam · SC Telstar14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSparta RotterdamSC TelstarBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match14.7 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against18 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

SC Telstar's recent record differs from the season

weak

SC Telstar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Telstar have a visible away split

moderate

SC Telstar's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match14.7 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots14 shotsSparta Rotterdam 14 shots, SC Telstar 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsSparta Rotterdam 6 shots, SC Telstar 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.79 xG0.63 xGSparta Rotterdam 1.79 xG, SC Telstar 0.63 xG
  • Possession47%53%Sparta Rotterdam 47%, SC Telstar 53%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersSparta Rotterdam 6 corners, SC Telstar 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsSparta Rotterdam 9 fouls, SC Telstar 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGuus Offerhaus · SC Telstar · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Hamdaoui · SC Telstar · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLance Duijvestijn · Sparta Rotterdam · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSebastiaan Hagedoorn · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAyoub Oufkir · Sparta Rotterdam · 67′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedShurandy Sambo · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulian Baas · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAyoub Oufkir · Sparta Rotterdam · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBruno Martins Indi · Sparta Rotterdam · 22′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Young · Sparta Rotterdam · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMilan Zonneveld · SC Telstar · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGuus Offerhaus · SC Telstar · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSebastiaan Hagedoorn · SC Telstar · 83′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 11′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAyoub Oufkir · Sparta Rotterdam · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMilan Zonneveld · SC Telstar · 78′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAyoub Oufkir · Sparta Rotterdam · 3′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLance Duijvestijn · Sparta Rotterdam · 25′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 55′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPatrick van Aanholt · Sparta Rotterdam · 83′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 25′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sparta Rotterdam: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.81 xG. SC Telstar: 14 shots, 3 on target, 0.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Tobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 25′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sparta Rotterdam 1.81 xG · SC Telstar 0.63 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sparta Rotterdam favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · SC Telstar in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sparta Rotterdam10 matchesSC Telstar10 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.9 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.39 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 14.7 shots/match
4.56 shots/matchShots on target9/10▲ 5.6 shots/match
41.2%Possession10/10● 44.8%
3.5 corners/matchCorners10/10● 6.1 corners/match
7.78 fouls/matchFouls9/1011.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSparta RotterdamSC Telstar
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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