PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Mac3Park Stadion

PEC Zwolle 2–2 NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen drew 2–2.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.870.77
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (PEC Zwolle – NEC Nijmegen): shots 10–11, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.87–0.77, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PEC Zwolle show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

PEC Zwolle's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.7 shots/match ▲ShotsPEC Zwolle · NEC Nijmegen15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPEC ZwolleNEC NijmegenBaseline
Shots8.7 shots/match15.2 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against16.5 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

PEC Zwolle's recent record differs from the season

moderate

PEC Zwolle's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

PEC Zwolle have a visible home split

moderate

PEC Zwolle's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season8.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.2 shots/match8.7 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsPEC Zwolle 10 shots, NEC Nijmegen 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsPEC Zwolle 6 shots, NEC Nijmegen 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.87 xG0.77 xGPEC Zwolle 1.87 xG, NEC Nijmegen 0.77 xG
  • Possession35%65%PEC Zwolle 35%, NEC Nijmegen 65%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersPEC Zwolle 3 corners, NEC Nijmegen 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsPEC Zwolle 11 fouls, NEC Nijmegen 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jamiro Monteiro · PEC Zwolle · 22′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedBaşar Önal · NEC Nijmegen · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEli Dasa · NEC Nijmegen · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKodai Sano · NEC Nijmegen · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJamiro Monteiro · PEC Zwolle · 45′ · 0.05 xG · goalAhmetcan Kaplan · NEC Nijmegen · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedShola Shoretire · PEC Zwolle · 79′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAhmetcan Kaplan · NEC Nijmegen · 47′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBaşar Önal · NEC Nijmegen · 47′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBaşar Önal · NEC Nijmegen · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 69′ · 0.06 xG · on targetThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 83′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJamiro Monteiro · PEC Zwolle · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 36′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKoki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 9′ · 0.19 xG · goalAhmetcan Kaplan · NEC Nijmegen · 47′ · 0.19 xG · goalKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 54′ · 0.55 xG · on targetKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 50′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PEC Zwolle: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.88 xG. NEC Nijmegen: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jamiro Monteiro · PEC Zwolle · 45′Koen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 50′Koki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 9′Ahmetcan Kaplan · NEC Nijmegen · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PEC Zwolle 1.88 xG · NEC Nijmegen 0.76 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0PEC Zwolle
2Draws
3NEC Nijmegen
PEC Zwolle — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie0–1
NEC Nijmegen — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie1–0
NEC Nijmegen — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie2–2
PEC Zwolle — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie1–3
PEC Zwolle — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PEC Zwolle favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · NEC Nijmegen in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PEC Zwolle10 matchesNEC Nijmegen10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 2.7 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.75 xG/match
8.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 15.2 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 6.7 shots/match
42.2%Possession10/10● 58.8%
2.4 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5.1 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls10/912.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headPEC Zwolle — NEC Nijmegen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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