PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Stadion de Goffert

NEC Nijmegen 3–3 FC Twente · Eredivisie

3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

NEC Nijmegen and FC Twente drew 3–3.

Shots
89
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.531.94
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

NEC Nijmegen and FC Twente drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (NEC Nijmegen – FC Twente): shots 8–9, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.53–1.94, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Twente's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Twente's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match1.89 goals/match1.65 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots9 shotsNEC Nijmegen 8 shots, FC Twente 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsNEC Nijmegen 4 shots, FC Twente 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.53 xG1.94 xGNEC Nijmegen 0.53 xG, FC Twente 1.94 xG
  • Possession60%40%NEC Nijmegen 60%, FC Twente 40%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersNEC Nijmegen 3 corners, FC Twente 3 corners

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1NEC Nijmegen
2Draws
2FC Twente
FC Twente — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie2–2
FC Twente — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie2–0
NEC Nijmegen — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–2
NEC Nijmegen — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–0
FC Twente — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: NEC Nijmegen favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · FC Twente in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

NEC Nijmegen9 matchesFC Twente9 matches
2.78 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.89 goals/match
1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.86 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.86 xG/match
15.7 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 17.4 shots/match
7.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/86.13 shots/match
58.1% ●Possession9/954.8%
5.22 corners/match ●Corners9/94.56 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls8/712.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNEC NijmegenFC Twente
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headNEC Nijmegen — FC Twente
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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