Eredivisie · 2025BUKO Stadion

SC Telstar 2–3 SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Heerenveen won 2–3.

Shots
1815
Shots on target
67
Expected goals
2.732.71
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Heerenveen beat SC Telstar 3–2. Recorded in this match (SC Telstar – SC Heerenveen): shots 18–15, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 2.73–2.71, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/matchCornersSC Telstar · SC Heerenveen● 6.33 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSC TelstarSC HeerenveenBaseline
Corners6 corners/match6.33 corners/match4.89 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

SC Telstar's recent record differs from the season

weak

SC Telstar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.61 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Heerenveen have a visible away split

weak

SC Heerenveen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match15.6 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots15 shotsSC Telstar 18 shots, SC Heerenveen 15 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots7 shotsSC Telstar 6 shots, SC Heerenveen 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.73 xG2.71 xGSC Telstar 2.73 xG, SC Heerenveen 2.71 xG
  • Possession46%54%SC Telstar 46%, SC Heerenveen 54%
  • Corners6 corners11 cornersSC Telstar 6 corners, SC Heerenveen 11 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsSC Telstar 9 fouls, SC Heerenveen 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSebastiaan Hagedoorn · SC Telstar · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMilan Zonneveld · SC Telstar · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGuus Offerhaus · SC Telstar · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 77′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 49′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarcus Linday · SC Heerenveen · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSebastiaan Hagedoorn · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 54′ · 0.06 xG · goalMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 1′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 45′ · 0.10 xG · goalJochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 62′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 20′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 36′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 14′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMilan Zonneveld · SC Telstar · 85′ · 0.21 xG · goalPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 51′ · 0.22 xG · on targetDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 11′ · 0.23 xG · on targetSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 58′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 59′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedNeville Nwankwo · SC Telstar · 89′ · 0.25 xG · on targetJoris van Overeem · SC Heerenveen · 17′ · 0.37 xG · on targetMilan Zonneveld · SC Telstar · 80′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 21′ · 0.49 xG · goalMilan Zonneveld · SC Telstar · 75′ · 0.62 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 42′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Telstar: 18 shots, 6 on target, 2.69 xG. SC Heerenveen: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Jeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 45′Milan Zonneveld · SC Telstar · 85′Jacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 21′Dylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 42′Ringo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Telstar 2.69 xG · SC Heerenveen 2.71 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Telstar favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · SC Heerenveen in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Telstar9 matchesSC Heerenveen9 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.67 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 2.01 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 15.6 shots/match
5.89 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/94.78 shots/match
43.9%Possession9/9● 52.8%
6 corners/matchCorners9/9● 6.33 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls9/910.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 14:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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