PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 14:30 UTCFull timeVoith-ArenaFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric1. FC HeidenheimEintracht Frankfurt
Shots9 shots/match16 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession28%72%
Corners2 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: 1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.7%▲Possession1. FC Heidenheim · Eintracht Frankfurt56.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC HeidenheimEintracht FrankfurtBaseline
Possession40.7%56.3%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

1. FC Heidenheim favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 8 · 4 too close

0.89 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/9▲2.44 goals/match
1.89 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/92.11 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/9▲13.3 shots/match
15.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲12.1 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲4.78 shots/match
5.44 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲4.89 shots/match
40.7%Possessionseason · 9/956.3%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/95 corners/match
3.78 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲2.78 corners/match
1.67 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 9/92 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/910.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/9▲11%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/9▲89%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

1. FC Heidenheim8.3
Eintracht Frankfurt75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

1. FC Heidenheim23.1
Eintracht Frankfurt73.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

1. FC Heidenheim21.3
Eintracht Frankfurt45.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

1. FC Heidenheim75
Eintracht Frankfurt19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

1. FC Heidenheim27.8
Eintracht Frankfurt36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

1. FC Heidenheim44.4
Eintracht Frankfurt44.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

1. FC Heidenheim37.5
Eintracht Frankfurt49.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/512.2 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match
41.4%Possession5/554.6%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
0.8 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲2.44 goals/match
1.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/92.11 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShots9/9▲13.3 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.78 shots/match
40.7%Possession9/956.3%
5 corners/matchCorners9/95 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards9/92 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls9/910.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲2.44 goals/match
1.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/92.11 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShots9/9▲13.3 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.78 shots/match
40.7%Possession9/956.3%
5 corners/matchCorners9/95 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards9/92 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls9/910.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.6 goals/match
1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/matchShots5/513.4 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match
41%Possession5/557%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.04 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4
Teams1. FC HeidenheimEintracht Frankfurt
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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