Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Heidenheim 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Heidenheim and VfL Wolfsburg drew 1–1.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.121.11
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Heidenheim and VfL Wolfsburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 12–13, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.12–1.11, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Wolfsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.22 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible home split

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.7 fouls/matchFouls1. FC Heidenheim · VfL Wolfsburg12.8 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric1. FC HeidenheimVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Fouls13.7 fouls/match12.8 fouls/match11.5 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shots1. FC Heidenheim 12 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shots1. FC Heidenheim 3 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG1.11 xG1. FC Heidenheim 1.12 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 1.11 xG
  • Possession52%48%1. FC Heidenheim 52%, VfL Wolfsburg 48%
  • Corners4 corners2 corners1. FC Heidenheim 4 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 11 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FC Heidenheim
0Draws
1VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim18 matchesVfL Wolfsburg18 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.22 goals/match
1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.61 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals18/181.2 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots18/1812 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 4.61 shots/match
42.7%Possession18/18● 48.3%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners18/183.72 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Jan 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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