Bundesliga · 2023Sat, 20 Jan 2024, 14:30 UTCFull timeHistorical match

SC Freiburg

WWWLD

3–2Historical match

TSG Hoffenheim

LWLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	SC Freiburg	TSG Hoffenheim
Shots	18 shots/match▲	16 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.69 xG/match▲	1.45 xG/match
Possession	43%	57%●
Corners	2 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	18 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

SC Freiburg: 18 shots, 9 on target, 2.75 xG. TSG Hoffenheim: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Freiburg 2.75 xG · TSG Hoffenheim 1.44 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: SC Freiburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: SC Freiburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

SC Freiburg have a visible home split

moderate

SC Freiburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.2 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.2 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

SC Freiburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

SC Freiburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.33 goals/match	1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3SC Freiburg

1Draws

1TSG Hoffenheim

19 Aug 2023TSG Hoffenheim — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga1–2

12 Mar 2023SC Freiburg — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–1

18 Sept 2022TSG Hoffenheim — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–0

30 Apr 2022TSG Hoffenheim — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga3–4

11 Dec 2021SC Freiburg — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

SC Freiburg favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 2 · 5 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 18/18▲1.89 goals/match

1.56 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 18/182 goals/match

1.62 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 18/181.69 xG/match

1.46 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 18/181.88 xG/match

12.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 18/1813.5 shots/match

13.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 18/1816.4 shots/match

4.61 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 18/184.67 shots/match

3.94 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 18/186.56 shots/match

47.6%Possessionseason · 18/18●48.4%

4.17 corners/match●Cornersseason · 18/183.94 corners/match

5.17 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 18/185.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1810.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

39%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/186%

78%Scoring frequencyseason · 18/18▲94%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

SC Freiburg47.2

TSG Hoffenheim58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

SC Freiburg49.1

TSG Hoffenheim63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

SC Freiburg64.8

TSG Hoffenheim10.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

SC Freiburg41.7

TSG Hoffenheim75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

SC Freiburg41.7

TSG Hoffenheim30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

SC Freiburg41.7

TSG Hoffenheim30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

SC Freiburg48.6

TSG Hoffenheim47.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

SC Freiburg18 matchesTSG Hoffenheim18 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲1.89 goals/match

1.56 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/182 goals/match

1.62 xG/matchExpected goals18/181.69 xG/match

12.9 shots/matchShots18/1813.5 shots/match

4.61 shots/matchShots on target18/184.67 shots/match

47.6%Possession18/18●48.4%

4.17 corners/match●Corners18/183.94 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

SC Freiburg9 matchesTSG Hoffenheim10 matches

1.78 goals/matchGoals scored9/10▲1.9 goals/match

1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/101.9 goals/match

2.18 xG/match▲Expected goals9/101.53 xG/match

16.2 shots/match▲Shots9/1012.4 shots/match

5.56 shots/match▲Shots on target9/104.6 shots/match

54.1%●Possession9/1048.6%

5.33 corners/match●Corners9/103.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls9/1010.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.79 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples18 / 18home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Jan 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4