PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Köln 0–4 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 0–4.

Shots
1911
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
1.33.38
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat 1. FC Köln 4–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Köln – Borussia Dortmund): shots 19–11, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 1.3–3.38, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Köln's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.61 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.61 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Köln have a visible home split

moderate

1. FC Köln's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Köln · Borussia Dortmund15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC KölnBorussia DortmundBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match15.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match14.9 shots/match14.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots11 shots1. FC Köln 19 shots, Borussia Dortmund 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shots1. FC Köln 5 shots, Borussia Dortmund 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.3 xG3.38 xG1. FC Köln 1.3 xG, Borussia Dortmund 3.38 xG
  • Possession39%61%1. FC Köln 39%, Borussia Dortmund 61%
  • Corners13 corners4 corners1. FC Köln 13 corners, Borussia Dortmund 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls7 fouls1. FC Köln 16 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rasmus Carstensen · 1. FC Köln · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDenis Huseinbašić · 1. FC Köln · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDenis Huseinbašić · 1. FC Köln · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJustin Diehl · 1. FC Köln · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 79′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJan Uwe Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJan Uwe Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 69′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJeff Chabot · 1. FC Köln · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Reyna · Borussia Dortmund · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 12′ · 0.05 xG · goalJan Uwe Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTimo Hübers · 1. FC Köln · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThomas Meunier · Borussia Dortmund · 37′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJeff Chabot · 1. FC Köln · 45′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 4′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJan Uwe Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 46′ · 0.13 xG · on targetJan Uwe Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 46′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Carstensen · 1. FC Köln · 51′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 33′ · 0.53 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 61′ · 0.67 xG · goalNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 58′ · 0.82 xG · goalYoussoufa Moukoko · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.96 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Köln: 19 shots, 5 on target, 1.32 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 11 shots, 7 on target, 3.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Donyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 12′Niclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 58′Donyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 61′Youssoufa Moukoko · Borussia Dortmund · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Köln 1.32 xG · Borussia Dortmund 3.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FC Köln
1Draws
3Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–0
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga6–1
1. FC Köln — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga3–2
1. FC Köln — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–1
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Köln favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Köln18 matchesBorussia Dortmund18 matches
0.61 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 2.06 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.39 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 2.04 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 15.4 shots/match
4.61 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 5.39 shots/match
46.9%Possession18/18● 56.2%
5.78 corners/match ●Corners18/184.67 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Jan 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC KölnBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-head1. FC Köln — Borussia Dortmund
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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