Bundesliga · 2023Sat, 27 Jan 2024, 14:30 UTCFull timeHistorical match

VfL Wolfsburg

LWLDD

1–1Historical match

1. FC Köln

DLLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	VfL Wolfsburg	1. FC Köln
Shots	14 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.53 xG/match▲	0.59 xG/match
Possession	52%●	48%
Corners	6 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	17 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

VfL Wolfsburg: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.54 xG. 1. FC Köln: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Wolfsburg 1.54 xG · 1. FC Köln 0.59 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: 1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: 1. FC Köln's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

1. FC Köln's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	0.63 goals/match	1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Köln have a visible away split

moderate

1. FC Köln's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.7 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.7 shots/match	12.4 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3VfL Wolfsburg

0Draws

21. FC Köln

26 Aug 20231. FC Köln — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–2

25 Feb 20231. FC Köln — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga0–2

3 Sept 2022VfL Wolfsburg — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga2–4

7 May 20221. FC Köln — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga0–1

14 Dec 2021VfL Wolfsburg — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

VfL Wolfsburg favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 0 · 5 too close

1.21 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 19/190.63 goals/match

1.58 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 19/191.79 goals/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 19/191.1 xG/match

1.47 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 19/192.17 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/1912.4 shots/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 19/1915.4 shots/match

4.58 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/194.47 shots/match

4.79 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 19/195.32 shots/match

48.5%●Possessionseason · 19/1947%

3.84 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/19●5.63 corners/match

5.42 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/195.63 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1911.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

16%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1911%

84%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 19/1953%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

VfL Wolfsburg52.8

1. FC Köln41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

VfL Wolfsburg38

1. FC Köln28.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

VfL Wolfsburg60.2

1. FC Köln38

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

VfL Wolfsburg13.9

1. FC Köln30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

VfL Wolfsburg75

1. FC Köln58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

VfL Wolfsburg22.2

1. FC Köln77.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

VfL Wolfsburg46.5

1. FC Köln54.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

VfL Wolfsburg19 matches1. FC Köln19 matches

1.21 goals/match▲Goals scored19/190.63 goals/match

1.58 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191.79 goals/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goals19/191.1 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShots19/1912.4 shots/match

4.58 shots/matchShots on target19/194.47 shots/match

48.5%●Possession19/1947%

3.84 corners/matchCorners19/19●5.63 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

VfL Wolfsburg9 matches1. FC Köln10 matches

1.44 goals/match▲Goals scored9/100.5 goals/match

1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/101.9 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals9/101.08 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shots9/109.7 shots/match

4.78 shots/match▲Shots on target9/103.8 shots/match

47.7%●Possession9/1045.4%

3.56 corners/matchCorners9/10●3.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls9/1011.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples19 / 19home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Jan 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4