PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

TSG Hoffenheim and 1. FC Heidenheim drew 1–1.

Shots
2314
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
2.931.14
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

TSG Hoffenheim and 1. FC Heidenheim drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (TSG Hoffenheim – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 23–14, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 2.93–1.14, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

TSG Hoffenheim's recent record differs from the season

weak

TSG Hoffenheim's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.84 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible away split

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots14 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 23 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 7 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.93 xG1.14 xGTSG Hoffenheim 2.93 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 1.14 xG
  • Possession67%33%TSG Hoffenheim 67%, 1. FC Heidenheim 33%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersTSG Hoffenheim 9 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsTSG Hoffenheim 11 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Anton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUmut Tohumcu · TSG Hoffenheim · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLennard Maloney · 1. FC Heidenheim · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOmar Haktab Traore · 1. FC Heidenheim · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Grillitsch · TSG Hoffenheim · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 50′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWout Weghorst · TSG Hoffenheim · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKevin Sessa · 1. FC Heidenheim · 83′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 3′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWout Weghorst · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGrischa Prömel · TSG Hoffenheim · 47′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedWout Weghorst · TSG Hoffenheim · 15′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 40′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 62′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 85′ · 0.12 xG · on targetIhlas Bebou · TSG Hoffenheim · 75′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedWout Weghorst · TSG Hoffenheim · 15′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 50′ · 0.25 xG · on targetTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedMarius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.26 xG · on targetEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 29′ · 0.55 xG · goalAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

TSG Hoffenheim: 23 shots, 7 on target, 3.08 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Andrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′Eren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 29′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: TSG Hoffenheim 3.08 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 1.09 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1TSG Hoffenheim
0Draws
01. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim19 matches1. FC Heidenheim19 matches
1.84 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.47 goals/match
1.95 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.84 goals/match
1.75 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.24 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots19/1911.8 shots/match
4.79 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/193.53 shots/match
49.4% ●Possession19/1942.2%
4.21 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.63 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Jan 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTSG Hoffenheim1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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