PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

VfL Bochum 1848 1–0 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Bochum 1848 won 1–0.

Shots
619
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.91.45
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Bochum 1848 beat VfB Stuttgart 1–0. Recorded in this match (VfL Bochum 1848 – VfB Stuttgart): shots 6–19, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.9–1.45, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfB Stuttgart's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match2.11 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Bochum 1848 have a visible home split

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.3 shots/match14.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

VfB Stuttgart show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsVfL Bochum 1848 · VfB Stuttgart16.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVfL Bochum 1848VfB StuttgartBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match16.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match11.3 shots/match14.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots19 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 6 shots, VfB Stuttgart 19 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 1 shot, VfB Stuttgart 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.9 xG1.45 xGVfL Bochum 1848 0.9 xG, VfB Stuttgart 1.45 xG
  • Possession37%63%VfL Bochum 1848 37%, VfB Stuttgart 63%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersVfL Bochum 1848 1 corner, VfB Stuttgart 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls16 foulsVfL Bochum 1848 16 fouls, VfB Stuttgart 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Philipp Förster · VfL Bochum 1848 · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWaldemar Anton · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 27′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosha Vagnoman · VfB Stuttgart · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWaldemar Anton · VfB Stuttgart · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 76′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Osterhage · VfL Bochum 1848 · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBernardo · VfL Bochum 1848 · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 2′ · 0.08 xG · on targetChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 72′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 10′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedWaldemar Anton · VfB Stuttgart · 85′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 5′ · 0.13 xG · on targetPhilipp Förster · VfL Bochum 1848 · 53′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedWaldemar Anton · VfB Stuttgart · 85′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 89′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 81′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Stiller · VfB Stuttgart · 61′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 50′ · 0.43 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Bochum 1848: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.90 xG. VfB Stuttgart: 19 shots, 5 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Matúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 50′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Bochum 1848 0.90 xG · VfB Stuttgart 1.47 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 184818 matchesVfB Stuttgart18 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 2.11 goals/match
1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 2.27 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 16.1 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 6.39 shots/match
44.9%Possession18/18● 59.3%
3.67 corners/matchCorners18/18● 4.61 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls18/189.83 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Jan 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Bochum 1848VfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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