PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

VfL Bochum 1848 1–1 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Bochum 1848 and SV Werder Bremen drew 1–1.

Shots
1416
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.730.81
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Bochum 1848 and SV Werder Bremen drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (VfL Bochum 1848 – SV Werder Bremen): shots 14–16, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.73–0.81, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Bochum 1848's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Bochum 1848 have a visible home split

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.9 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.2 fouls/matchFoulsVfL Bochum 1848 · SV Werder Bremen13.1 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVfL Bochum 1848SV Werder BremenBaseline
Fouls13.2 fouls/match13.1 fouls/match11.4 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots16 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 14 shots, SV Werder Bremen 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 4 shots, SV Werder Bremen 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG0.81 xGVfL Bochum 1848 0.73 xG, SV Werder Bremen 0.81 xG
  • Possession48%52%VfL Bochum 1848 48%, SV Werder Bremen 52%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersVfL Bochum 1848 3 corners, SV Werder Bremen 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsVfL Bochum 1848 14 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tim Oermann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 83′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Osterhage · VfL Bochum 1848 · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Jung · SV Werder Bremen · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · VfL Bochum 1848 · 43′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPatrick Osterhage · VfL Bochum 1848 · 64′ · 0.02 xG · goalDawid Kownacki · SV Werder Bremen · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNiklas Stark · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · goalJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Antwi-Adjei · VfL Bochum 1848 · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 76′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNick Woltemade · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Antwi-Adjei · VfL Bochum 1848 · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 17′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 35′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Förster · VfL Bochum 1848 · 82′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDawid Kownacki · SV Werder Bremen · 87′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDawid Kownacki · SV Werder Bremen · 81′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 34′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 34′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Bochum 1848: 14 shots, 4 on target, 0.73 xG. SV Werder Bremen: 16 shots, 3 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Patrick Osterhage · VfL Bochum 1848 · 64′Niklas Stark · SV Werder Bremen · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Bochum 1848 0.73 xG · SV Werder Bremen 0.84 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 3 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 184817 matchesSV Werder Bremen17 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.41 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.82 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals17/171.31 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots17/1711.4 shots/match
4.65 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/173.59 shots/match
45.4%Possession17/17● 47.4%
3.82 corners/match ●Corners17/173.35 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Jan 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Bochum 1848SV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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