PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.731.31
Expected goals
1.621.54
Shots
12.413.2
Possession
50.2%52.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: new York Red Bulls's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

New York Red Bulls's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New York Red Bulls's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: New England Revolution favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · New York Red Bulls in 3 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

New England Revolution26 matchesNew York Red Bulls26 matches
1.73 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.31 goals/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.85 goals/match
1.62 xG/matchExpected goals24/231.54 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 13.2 shots/match
4.85 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/264.58 shots/match
50.2%Possession26/26● 52.1%
4.46 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.73 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/62.5 cards/match
9.73 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2New England Revolution
0Draws
3New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer1–0
New York Red Bulls — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer5–3
New England Revolution — New York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer2–1
New England Revolution — New York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer1–0
New York Red Bulls — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness40 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNew England RevolutionNew York Red Bulls
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headNew England Revolution — New York Red Bulls
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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