PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.811.19
Expected goals
1.461.36
Shots
11.212.7
Possession
46%48.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: CF Montreal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: CF Montreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

CF Montreal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CF Montreal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CF Montreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

CF Montreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsCharlotte · CF Montreal12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCharlotteCF MontrealBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against16.3 shots/match13 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Charlotte FC favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · CF Montréal in 4 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Charlotte FC26 matchesCF Montréal26 matches
1.81 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.19 goals/match
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/262.04 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.36 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 12.7 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/264.62 shots/match
46%Possession26/26● 48.5%
4.5 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.04 corners/match
2.22 cards/matchCards9/82.13 cards/match
9.65 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Charlotte FC
0Draws
2CF Montréal
CF Montréal — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer1–2
Charlotte FC — CF Montréal · Major League Soccer1–4
CF Montréal — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer0–1
Charlotte FC — CF Montréal · Major League Soccer2–0
CF Montréal — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness39 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCharlotte FCCF Montréal
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headCharlotte FC — CF Montréal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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