PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Charlotte FC vs Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.741.78
Expected goals
1.451.53
Shots
11.211.8
Possession
45.8%49.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: orlando City SC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Orlando City SC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Orlando City SC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.78 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Charlotte FC favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Orlando City SC in 2 · 6 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Charlotte FC27 matchesOrlando City SC27 matches
1.74 goals/matchGoals scored27/271.78 goals/match
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/272.37 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals24/23▲ 1.53 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots27/26▲ 11.8 shots/match
4.78 shots/matchShots on target27/264.81 shots/match
45.8%Possession27/26● 49.2%
4.48 corners/match ●Corners27/264.08 corners/match
2.7 cards/matchCards10/42.75 cards/match
9.81 fouls/matchFouls27/2610.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Charlotte FC
3Draws
2Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer4–1
Charlotte FC — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer2–2
Orlando City SC — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer3–1
Orlando City SC — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer1–1
Charlotte FC — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCharlotte FCOrlando City SC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headCharlotte FC — Orlando City SC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required