PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Columbus Crew vs DC United · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.441.31
Expected goals
1.131.48
Shots
11.912.8
Possession
56.4%38.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: columbus Crew have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: columbus Crew's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Columbus Crew have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.4% ●PossessionColumbus Crew · DC United38.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricColumbus CrewDC UnitedBaseline
Possession56.4%38.8%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Columbus Crew's recent record differs from the season

weak

Columbus Crew's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Columbus Crew favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · DC United in 5 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Columbus Crew27 matchesDC United26 matches
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/261.31 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed27/261.62 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals24/22▲ 1.48 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots27/25▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.93 shots/matchShots on target27/25▲ 4.44 shots/match
56.4% ●Possession27/2538.8%
5.07 corners/match ●Corners27/254.84 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards6/62.67 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls27/2513.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Columbus Crew
2Draws
1DC United
DC United — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer2–1
Columbus Crew — DC United · Major League Soccer2–1
DC United — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer1–2
DC United — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer2–2
Columbus Crew — DC United · Major League Soccer1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsColumbus CrewDC United
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headColumbus Crew — DC United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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