Major League Soccer · 2026

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.921.73
Expected goals
1.891.62
Shots
16.312.4
Possession
47.5%50.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: philadelphia Union's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: new England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Philadelphia Union's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Philadelphia Union's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.8 goals/match1.92 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

New England Revolution show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsPhiladelphia Union · New England Revolution12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPhiladelphia UnionNew England RevolutionBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against8.88 shots/match13 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Philadelphia Union favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · New England Revolution in 3 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Philadelphia Union26 matchesNew England Revolution26 matches
1.92 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.73 goals/match
1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.27 goals/match
1.89 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/241.62 xG/match
16.3 shots/match ▲Shots26/2612.4 shots/match
5.08 shots/matchShots on target26/264.85 shots/match
47.5%Possession26/26● 50.2%
5.92 corners/match ●Corners26/264.46 corners/match
3.14 cards/matchCards7/52.6 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls26/269.73 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Philadelphia Union
0Draws
1New England Revolution
New England Revolution — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer2–1
Philadelphia Union — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer1–0
New England Revolution — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer0–2
Philadelphia Union — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer5–1
New England Revolution — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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