PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.881.32
Expected goals
1.491.34
Shots
13.212
Possession
50.8%55.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: colorado Rapids's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. The next-strongest reading is weaker: colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.32 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Colorado Rapids have a visible away split

strong

Colorado Rapids's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.08 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.08 shots/match12 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Portland Timbers favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Colorado Rapids in 6 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Portland Timbers25 matchesColorado Rapids25 matches
1.88 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.32 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.34 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512 shots/match
4.48 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/254.04 shots/match
50.8%Possession25/25● 55.1%
4.68 corners/matchCorners25/25● 4.92 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards8/103.4 cards/match
9.84 fouls/matchFouls25/2514.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Portland Timbers
1Draws
2Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer2–0
Portland Timbers — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer1–1
Colorado Rapids — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer0–3
Colorado Rapids — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer2–1
Portland Timbers — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPortland TimbersColorado Rapids
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headPortland Timbers — Colorado Rapids
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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