PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Seattle Sounders FC vs CF Montréal · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.091.24
Expected goals
1.341.4
Shots
13.412.9
Possession
50.5%48.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: CF Montréal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

CF Montréal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CF Montréal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Seattle Sounders FC favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · CF Montréal in 4 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Seattle Sounders FC23 matchesCF Montréal25 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored23/25▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/252.04 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals20/221.4 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots23/2512.9 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on target23/254.72 shots/match
50.5% ●Possession23/2548.3%
4.96 corners/matchCorners23/25● 5.04 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/82.13 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls23/2512.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Seattle Sounders FC
0Draws
1CF Montréal
Seattle Sounders FC — CF Montréal · Major League Soccer5–0
Seattle Sounders FC — CF Montréal · Major League Soccer1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSeattle Sounders FCCF Montréal
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headSeattle Sounders FC — CF Montréal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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