PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.841.8
Expected goals
1.951.49
Shots
16.511.2
Possession
47.2%45.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: philadelphia Union's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: philadelphia Union's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Philadelphia Union's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Philadelphia Union's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match1.84 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Philadelphia Union show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Philadelphia Union's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsPhiladelphia Union · Charlotte FC11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPhiladelphia UnionCharlotte FCBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against8.84 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Philadelphia Union favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Charlotte FC in 2 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Philadelphia Union25 matchesCharlotte FC25 matches
1.84 goals/matchGoals scored25/251.8 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.95 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.49 xG/match
16.5 shots/match ▲Shots25/2511.2 shots/match
4.96 shots/matchShots on target25/254.8 shots/match
47.2% ●Possession25/2545.6%
6 corners/match ●Corners25/254.56 corners/match
3.14 cards/matchCards7/92.22 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls25/259.56 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Philadelphia Union
1Draws
3Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer2–1
Charlotte FC — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer2–0
Philadelphia Union — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer2–1
Philadelphia Union — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer0–2
Charlotte FC — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPhiladelphia UnionCharlotte FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headPhiladelphia Union — Charlotte FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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