PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

New York Red Bulls vs San Diego FC · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.311.68
Expected goals
1.541.42
Shots
13.211.8
Possession
52.1%60.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: new York Red Bulls's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: san Diego FC have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

New York Red Bulls's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New York Red Bulls's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

San Diego FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.1%PossessionNew York Red Bulls · San Diego FC● 60.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNew York Red BullsSan Diego FCBaseline
Possession52.1%60.1%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: New York Red Bulls favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · San Diego FC in 8 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

New York Red Bulls26 matchesSan Diego FC25 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored26/25▲ 1.68 goals/match
1.85 goals/matchGoals allowed26/25▲ 1.68 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/221.42 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots26/2511.8 shots/match
4.58 shots/matchShots on target26/254.52 shots/match
52.1%Possession26/25● 60.1%
5.73 corners/match ●Corners26/255 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards6/123.5 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls26/2510.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNew York Red BullsSan Diego FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required