PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Philadelphia Union won 2–1.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.810.82
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Philadelphia Union beat Real Salt Lake 2–1. Recorded in this match (Philadelphia Union – Real Salt Lake): shots 14–11, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.81–0.82, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Philadelphia Union's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Philadelphia Union's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for4 goals/match2 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Salt Lake have a visible away split

moderate

Real Salt Lake's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Philadelphia Union show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Philadelphia Union's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsPhiladelphia Union · Real Salt Lake13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPhiladelphia UnionReal Salt LakeBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against9.04 shots/match13.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsPhiladelphia Union 14 shots, Real Salt Lake 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsPhiladelphia Union 5 shots, Real Salt Lake 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.81 xG0.82 xGPhiladelphia Union 1.81 xG, Real Salt Lake 0.82 xG
  • Possession52%48%Philadelphia Union 52%, Real Salt Lake 48%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersPhiladelphia Union 4 corners, Real Salt Lake 3 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls13 foulsPhiladelphia Union 21 fouls, Real Salt Lake 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsPhiladelphia Union 4 cards, Real Salt Lake 2 cards
  • Passes479 passes441 passesPhiladelphia Union 479 passes, Real Salt Lake 441 passes
  • Pass accuracy80%79.1%Philadelphia Union 80%, Real Salt Lake 79.1%
  • Shots inside box9 shots8 shotsPhiladelphia Union 9 shots, Real Salt Lake 8 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks4 blocksPhiladelphia Union 2 blocks, Real Salt Lake 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesPhiladelphia Union 3 saves, Real Salt Lake 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesPhiladelphia Union 0 offsides, Real Salt Lake 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 2′Danley Jean JacquesYellow card · Philadelphia Union
  2. 13′DeAndre YedlinYellow card · Real Salt Lake
  3. 23′Frankie WestfieldYellow card · Philadelphia Union
  4. 31′Bruno DamianiGoal · Philadelphia Union
  5. Half-time
  6. 62′Dominik MarczukYellow card · Real Salt Lake
  7. 80′Jesus BuenoYellow card · Philadelphia Union
  8. 81′Milan IloskiGoal · Philadelphia Union
  9. 89′Bruno DamianiYellow card · Philadelphia Union
  10. 90′Saba LobzhanidzeGoal · Real Salt Lake
  11. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Real Salt Lake · 2 player changesJuan Sanabria · Luc De Fougerolles
  • 64′Philadelphia Union · 1 player changeQuinn Sullivan
  • 65′Real Salt Lake · 1 player changeSaba Lobzhanidze
  • 70′Real Salt Lake · 1 player changeZach Booth
  • 74′Philadelphia Union · 1 player changeJesus Bueno
  • 79′Real Salt Lake · 1 player changeAriath Piol
  • 90′Philadelphia Union · 3 player changesBen Bender · Alejandro Bedoya · Malik Jakupovic

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Philadelphia Union4-4-2
  1. Andrew RickG
  2. Ben BenderD
  3. Nathan HarrielD
  4. Kai WagnerD
  5. Finn SundstromD
  6. Jovan LukićM
  7. Jesus BuenoM
  8. Indiana VassilevM
  9. Quinn SullivanM
  10. Bruno DamianiF
  11. Milan IloskiF
Real Salt Lake3-4-2-1
  1. Rafael CabralG
  2. DeAndre YedlinD
  3. Kobi HenryD
  4. Dominik MarczukD
  5. Philip QuintonD
  6. Sam JunquaD
  7. Stijn SpieringsM
  8. Noel CaliskanM
  9. Morgan GuilavoguiF
  10. Sergi SolansF
  11. Aiden HezarkhaniF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Philadelphia Union
0Draws
1Real Salt Lake
Philadelphia Union — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Philadelphia Union favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Real Salt Lake in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Philadelphia Union28 matchesReal Salt Lake28 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.46 goals/match
1.61 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.64 goals/match
1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.46 xG/match
16.4 shots/match ▲Shots28/2813.8 shots/match
5.21 shots/matchShots on target28/285.18 shots/match
47.3%Possession28/28● 48.8%
5.89 corners/match ●Corners28/284.75 corners/match
3.14 cards/matchCards7/52.6 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls28/2812.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPhiladelphia UnionReal Salt Lake
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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