PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

San Jose Earthquakes 3–1 Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

San Jose Earthquakes won 3–1.

Shots
1318
Shots on target
86
Expected goals
0.931.5
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

San Jose Earthquakes beat Portland Timbers 3–1. Recorded in this match (San Jose Earthquakes – Portland Timbers): shots 13–18, shots on target 8–6, expected goals 0.93–1.5, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Portland Timbers's recent record differs from the season

weak

Portland Timbers's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

San Jose Earthquakes have a visible home split

moderate

San Jose Earthquakes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

San Jose Earthquakes show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

San Jose Earthquakes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsSan Jose Earthquakes · Portland Timbers13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesPortland TimbersBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match15.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots18 shotsSan Jose Earthquakes 13 shots, Portland Timbers 18 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots6 shotsSan Jose Earthquakes 8 shots, Portland Timbers 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.93 xG1.5 xGSan Jose Earthquakes 0.93 xG, Portland Timbers 1.5 xG
  • Possession46%54%San Jose Earthquakes 46%, Portland Timbers 54%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersSan Jose Earthquakes 5 corners, Portland Timbers 9 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls11 foulsSan Jose Earthquakes 8 fouls, Portland Timbers 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardSan Jose Earthquakes 2 cards, Portland Timbers 1 card
  • Passes457 passes542 passesSan Jose Earthquakes 457 passes, Portland Timbers 542 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.3%87.8%San Jose Earthquakes 84.3%, Portland Timbers 87.8%
  • Shots inside box10 shots13 shotsSan Jose Earthquakes 10 shots, Portland Timbers 13 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks6 blocksSan Jose Earthquakes 3 blocks, Portland Timbers 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves5 savesSan Jose Earthquakes 5 saves, Portland Timbers 5 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideSan Jose Earthquakes 0 offsides, Portland Timbers 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 4′Preston JuddGoal · San Jose Earthquakes
  2. 24′Eduard LöwenGoal · San Jose Earthquakes
  3. 29′Preston JuddGoal · San Jose Earthquakes
  4. 30′Preston JuddYellow card · San Jose Earthquakes
  5. 40′Reid RobertsYellow card · San Jose Earthquakes
  6. Half-time
  7. 76′Eric MillerYellow card · Portland Timbers
  8. 86′David Pereira Da CostaGoal · Portland Timbers
  9. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′San Jose Earthquakes · 1 player changeBenjamin Kikanović
  • 67′Portland Timbers · 3 player changesAntony Alves · Eric Izoita · Ian Smith
  • 67′San Jose Earthquakes · 1 player changeNick Fernandez
  • 76′San Jose Earthquakes · 1 player changeLuka Jovanovic
  • 77′San Jose Earthquakes · 1 player changeJamar Ricketts
  • 79′Portland Timbers · 1 player changeGage Guerra
  • 87′San Jose Earthquakes · 1 player changeJack Skahan
  • 90′Portland Timbers · 1 player changeAlexander Aravena

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

San Jose Earthquakes3-4-2-1
  1. Angus GunnG
  2. Jamar RickettsD
  3. Dave RomneyD
  4. Daniel MunieD
  5. Reid RobertsD
  6. Benjamin KikanovićD
  7. Ronaldo VieiraM
  8. Eduard LöwenM
  9. Ousseni BoudaF
  10. Niko TsakirisF
  11. Beau LerouxF
Portland Timbers4-3-3
  1. Hunter SulteG
  2. Ronald HernándezD
  3. Eric MillerD
  4. Finn SurmanD
  5. Jímer ForyD
  6. David Pereira Da CostaM
  7. Cole BassettM
  8. Diego CharáM
  9. Ariel LassiterF
  10. Antony AlvesF
  11. Kristoffer VeldeF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2San Jose Earthquakes
1Draws
2Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer1–3
Portland Timbers — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer0–0
San Jose Earthquakes — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer4–1
San Jose Earthquakes — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer1–2
Portland Timbers — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: San Jose Earthquakes favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Portland Timbers in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

San Jose Earthquakes27 matchesPortland Timbers27 matches
1.81 goals/matchGoals scored27/271.78 goals/match
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.89 goals/match
1.62 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.5 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots27/2713.7 shots/match
5.19 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.48 shots/match
49.1%Possession27/27● 51%
6.41 corners/match ●Corners27/274.85 corners/match
2.88 cards/matchCards8/83 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls27/279.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Sept 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSan Jose EarthquakesPortland Timbers
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headSan Jose Earthquakes — Portland Timbers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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