PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Real Salt Lake 3–0 New England Revolution · Major League Soccer

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Real Salt Lake won 3–0.

Shots
916
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.821.15
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Salt Lake beat New England Revolution 3–0. Recorded in this match (Real Salt Lake – New England Revolution): shots 9–16, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.82–1.15, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Salt Lake's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Salt Lake's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Salt Lake.

3 days ▲Rest daysReal Salt Lake · New England Revolution7.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal Salt LakeNew England RevolutionBaseline
Rest days3 days7.08 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Real Salt Lake have a visible home split

moderate

Real Salt Lake's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsReal Salt Lake 9 shots, New England Revolution 16 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsReal Salt Lake 6 shots, New England Revolution 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.82 xG1.15 xGReal Salt Lake 1.82 xG, New England Revolution 1.15 xG
  • Possession33%67%Real Salt Lake 33%, New England Revolution 67%
  • Corners1 corner11 cornersReal Salt Lake 1 corner, New England Revolution 11 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsReal Salt Lake 8 fouls, New England Revolution 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsReal Salt Lake 2 cards, New England Revolution 2 cards
  • Passes303 passes584 passesReal Salt Lake 303 passes, New England Revolution 584 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.5%91.6%Real Salt Lake 81.5%, New England Revolution 91.6%
  • Shots inside box7 shots8 shotsReal Salt Lake 7 shots, New England Revolution 8 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks5 blocksReal Salt Lake 3 blocks, New England Revolution 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves3 savesReal Salt Lake 4 saves, New England Revolution 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesReal Salt Lake 0 offsides, New England Revolution 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 2′Aiden HezarkhaniGoal · Real Salt Lake
  2. 45′Carles GilYellow card · New England Revolution
  3. Half-time
  4. 46′Morgan GuilavoguiYellow card · Real Salt Lake
  5. 62′Sergi SolansGoal · Real Salt Lake
  6. 62′Joshua WynderYellow card · New England Revolution
  7. 75′Rafael CabralYellow card · Real Salt Lake
  8. 80′Sergi SolansGoal · Real Salt Lake
  9. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 58′New England Revolution · 2 player changesGriffin Yow · Cody Baker
  • 68′New England Revolution · 1 player changeJavaun Mussenden
  • 75′Real Salt Lake · 1 player changeColin Guske
  • 86′New England Revolution · 2 player changesDiego Fagúndez · Marcos Zambrano
  • 86′Real Salt Lake · 1 player changeLineker Rodrigues
  • 89′Real Salt Lake · 1 player changeJason Shokalook

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Real Salt Lake
  1. Rafael CabralG
  2. DeAndre YedlinD
  3. Kobi HenryD
  4. Dominik MarczukD
  5. Philip QuintonD
  6. Sam JunquaD
  7. Stijn SpieringsM
  8. Noel CaliskanM
  9. Morgan GuilavoguiF
  10. Sergi SolansF
  11. Aiden HezarkhaniF
New England Revolution
  1. Matt TurnerG
  2. Mamadou FofanaD
  3. Matt PolsterD
  4. William SandsD
  5. Joshua WynderD
  6. Carles GilM
  7. Jackson YueillM
  8. Ethan KohlerM
  9. Dániel GazdagF
  10. Wilson HarrisF
  11. Luca LangoniF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Real Salt Lake
0Draws
0New England Revolution
Real Salt Lake — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer2–0
New England Revolution — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Salt Lake favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · New England Revolution in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Salt Lake27 matchesNew England Revolution27 matches
1.48 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals24/25▲ 1.6 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots27/2712.5 shots/match
5.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.81 shots/match
48.9%Possession27/27● 50.9%
4.81 corners/match ●Corners27/274.7 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls27/279.89 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Sept 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal Salt LakeNew England Revolution
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headReal Salt Lake — New England Revolution
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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