PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Seattle Sounders FC 3–1 Minnesota United · Major League Soccer

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Seattle Sounders FC won 3–1.

Shots
1314
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
1.941.76
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Seattle Sounders FC beat Minnesota United 3–1. Recorded in this match (Seattle Sounders FC – Minnesota United): shots 13–14, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 1.94–1.76, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Seattle Sounders FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Seattle Sounders FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Seattle Sounders FC.

2.96 days ▲Rest daysSeattle Sounders FC · Minnesota United7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSeattle Sounders FCMinnesota UnitedBaseline
Rest days2.96 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots14 shotsSeattle Sounders FC 13 shots, Minnesota United 14 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsSeattle Sounders FC 8 shots, Minnesota United 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.94 xG1.76 xGSeattle Sounders FC 1.94 xG, Minnesota United 1.76 xG
  • Possession55%45%Seattle Sounders FC 55%, Minnesota United 45%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersSeattle Sounders FC 5 corners, Minnesota United 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls6 foulsSeattle Sounders FC 12 fouls, Minnesota United 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsSeattle Sounders FC 2 cards, Minnesota United 2 cards
  • Passes575 passes465 passesSeattle Sounders FC 575 passes, Minnesota United 465 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.7%81.1%Seattle Sounders FC 87.7%, Minnesota United 81.1%
  • Shots inside box10 shots10 shotsSeattle Sounders FC 10 shots, Minnesota United 10 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks5 blocksSeattle Sounders FC 2 blocks, Minnesota United 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save5 savesSeattle Sounders FC 1 save, Minnesota United 5 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideSeattle Sounders FC 1 offside, Minnesota United 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 16′Jordan MorrisGoal · Seattle Sounders FC
  2. 28′Jefferson DíazYellow card · Minnesota United
  3. 35′Hassani DotsonGoal · Seattle Sounders FC
  4. Half-time
  5. 57′Anthony MarkanichGoal · Minnesota United
  6. 58′Owen GeneYellow card · Minnesota United
  7. 71′Hassani DotsonYellow card · Seattle Sounders FC
  8. 83′Paul ArriolaGoal · Seattle Sounders FC
  9. 86′Stuart HawkinsYellow card · Seattle Sounders FC
  10. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Minnesota United · 1 player changeBongokuhle Hlongwane
  • 59′Seattle Sounders FC · 2 player changesSebastian Gomez · Paul Arriola
  • 78′Minnesota United · 1 player changeMauricio González
  • 84′Seattle Sounders FC · 1 player changeKalani Kossa-Rienzi
  • 84′Minnesota United · 2 player changesAziel Jackson · Maurice Malone
  • 84′Seattle Sounders FC · 1 player changeYeimar Gómez
  • 90′Seattle Sounders FC · 1 player changeSnyder Brunell

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Seattle Sounders FC
  1. Andrew ThomasG
  2. Nouhou ToloD
  3. Alex RoldánD
  4. Jackson RagenD
  5. Stuart HawkinsD
  6. Cristian RoldánM
  7. Albert RusnákM
  8. Hassani DotsonM
  9. Caden ClarkF
  10. Jordan MorrisF
  11. Daniel MusovskiF
Minnesota United
  1. Drake CallenderG
  2. Kyle DuncanD
  3. Michael BoxallD
  4. Morris DugganD
  5. Jefferson DíazD
  6. Tomás ChancalayM
  7. Anthony MarkanichM
  8. Wil TrappM
  9. Owen GeneM
  10. Kelvin YeboahF
  11. Marcus CaldeiraF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Seattle Sounders FC
3Draws
1Minnesota United
Minnesota United — Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer0–0
Minnesota United — Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer3–3
Seattle Sounders FC — Minnesota United · Major League Soccer4–2
Minnesota United — Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer0–0
Minnesota United — Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Seattle Sounders FC favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Minnesota United in 5 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Seattle Sounders FC26 matchesMinnesota United27 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored26/27▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/271.81 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals23/24▲ 1.65 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots26/2713.5 shots/match
4.96 shots/matchShots on target26/274.74 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession26/2746.1%
5.08 corners/matchCorners26/27● 5.41 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/62 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls26/2712.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Sept 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSeattle Sounders FCMinnesota United
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headSeattle Sounders FC — Minnesota United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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