PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Atlanta United 2–2 New York City FC · Major League Soccer

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlanta United and New York City FC drew 2–2.

Shots
79
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.950.8
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlanta United and New York City FC drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Atlanta United – New York City FC): shots 7–9, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.95–0.8, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

New York City FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New York City FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.52 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

New York City FC have a visible away split

moderate

New York City FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots9 shotsAtlanta United 7 shots, New York City FC 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsAtlanta United 5 shots, New York City FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG0.8 xGAtlanta United 0.95 xG, New York City FC 0.8 xG
  • Possession51%49%Atlanta United 51%, New York City FC 49%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersAtlanta United 4 corners, New York City FC 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsAtlanta United 14 fouls, New York City FC 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardAtlanta United 1 card, New York City FC 1 card
  • Passes503 passes475 passesAtlanta United 503 passes, New York City FC 475 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.9%86.5%Atlanta United 83.9%, New York City FC 86.5%
  • Shots inside box4 shots5 shotsAtlanta United 4 shots, New York City FC 5 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks2 blocksAtlanta United 0 blocks, New York City FC 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesAtlanta United 2 saves, New York City FC 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesAtlanta United 2 offsides, New York City FC 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 5′Matthew EdwardsGoal · Atlanta United
  2. 10′Giuliano GaloppoGoal · Atlanta United
  3. 43′Luke BrennanYellow card · Atlanta United
  4. Half-time
  5. 56′Andrés PereaGoal · New York City FC
  6. 74′Ajani FortuneGoal · Atlanta United
  7. Full time
Player changes · 6grouped by team and minute
  • 55′Atlanta United · 1 player changeDaniel Chica
  • 67′Atlanta United · 1 player changeAjani Fortune
  • 67′New York City FC · 1 player changeLuighi Hanri
  • 80′New York City FC · 1 player changeKevin O'Toole
  • 86′Atlanta United · 2 player changesSteven Alzate · Cameron Dunbar

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Atlanta United
  1. Lucas HoyosG
  2. Elías BáezD
  3. Enea MihajD
  4. Matthew EdwardsD
  5. Tomás JacobD
  6. Tristan MuyumbaM
  7. Mauricio AmaroM
  8. Cooper SanchezM
  9. Giuliano GaloppoF
  10. Luke BrennanF
  11. Breel EmboloF
New York City FC
  1. Tomás RomeroG
  2. Nico CavalloD
  3. James SandsD
  4. Thiago MartinsD
  5. Raul GustavoD
  6. Nicolás FernándezM
  7. Andrés PereaM
  8. Jonathan ShoreM
  9. Bénie TraoréF
  10. Hannes WolfF
  11. Agustin OjedaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atlanta United
3Draws
1New York City FC
New York City FC — Atlanta United · Major League Soccer4–0
Atlanta United — New York City FC · Major League Soccer4–3
Atlanta United — New York City FC · Major League Soccer2–2
New York City FC — Atlanta United · Major League Soccer1–1
Atlanta United — New York City FC · Major League Soccer2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlanta United favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · New York City FC in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlanta United27 matchesNew York City FC27 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.37 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.25 xG/match
12.6 shots/match ▲Shots27/2711.5 shots/match
3.89 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 4.59 shots/match
51.1%Possession27/27● 54%
4.96 corners/match ●Corners27/273.74 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/42.5 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Sept 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlanta UnitedNew York City FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headAtlanta United — New York City FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required